Stratospheric ozone depletion has contributed to the recent tropical La Niña-like cooling pattern

Abstract Despite the continuous global warming, over the past several decades, the tropical East Pacific has experienced a cooling trend whose origin remains an area of active research. Mounting evidence has linked tropical sea-surface temperature (SST) patterns to changes in the Southern Ocean via remote teleconnections. Using a fully-coupled global climate model, we demonstrate that stratospheric ozone depletion can produce a La Niña-like tropical SST trend pattern resembling recent observations. This tropical response initially arises from mid-latitude ocean adjustments to ozone-driven surface wind anomalies, which then enhance in the tropics via positive cloud feedback and wind-evaporation-SST feedback. Our finding suggests that the observed La Niña-like tropical SST trend pattern may have been, in part, caused by the formation of the ozone hole in the late 20 th century. It also implies that ozone recovery in the coming decades will likely contribute to a future weakening or reversal of the observed tropical SST trends.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2025-04-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01020-0
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
9.11

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article

Stratospheric ozone depletion has contributed to the recent tropical La Niña-like cooling pattern

Mark England, Yen‐Ting Hwang, Yue Dong, Lorenzo M. Polvani
7 citations
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
9.11
article

Stratospheric ozone depletion has contributed to the recent tropical La Niña-like cooling pattern

Mark England, Yen‐Ting Hwang, Yue Dong, Lorenzo M. Polvani
article en
7 citations

Abstract

Abstract Despite the continuous global warming, over the past several decades, the tropical East Pacific has experienced a cooling trend whose origin remains an area of active research. Mounting evidence has linked tropical sea-surface temperature (SST) patterns to changes in the Southern Ocean via remote teleconnections. Using a fully-coupled global climate model, we demonstrate that stratospheric ozone depletion can produce a La Niña-like tropical SST trend pattern resembling recent observations. This tropical response initially arises from mid-latitude ocean adjustments to ozone-driven surface wind anomalies, which then enhance in the tropics via positive cloud feedback and wind-evaporation-SST feedback. Our finding suggests that the observed La Niña-like tropical SST trend pattern may have been, in part, caused by the formation of the ozone hole in the late 20 th century. It also implies that ozone recovery in the coming decades will likely contribute to a future weakening or reversal of the observed tropical SST trends.

npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceVol. 8(1)
Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory (US), University of California, Los Angeles (US), National Taiwan University (TW), University of Exeter (GB), Columbia University (US)
National Science Foundation, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research, Royal Commission for the Exhibition of 1851, Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan, National Science and Technology Council, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
9.11
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Stratospheric ozone depletion has contributed to the recent tropical La Niña-like cooling pattern — Mark England, Yen‐Ting Hwang, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS