Confidence bias prescribes the neurocomputational mechanism of decision-making

A couple of decision-making models with different ingredients have successfully interpreted choices, confidence, and related neural activities. However, empirical and theoretical evidence is currently lacking to distinguish these models clearly. Here, we investigated the decision-congruent confidence bias, where confidence favors evidence from the chosen option, yet the choice and its correctness or optimality are determined equally by alternative evidence strengths across both perceptual and value-based decision-making tasks. This confidence bias is manifested by confidence-coding neural activities, particularly in the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex. Further analyses on an array of neurocomputational models show that only the decision-making model equipped with mutual inhibition and an urgency signal can produce such a selective bias across almost all parameter regimes. These findings suggest that mutual inhibition and an urgency signal are two indispensable features embedded in the decision-making process, while confidence bias might be its consequence.

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Publication Details

Journal
Cell Reports
Published
2025-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.celrep.2025.115563
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.43

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article

Confidence bias prescribes the neurocomputational mechanism of decision-making

Weiwen Lu, Sidong Wang, Yinmei Ni, Jie Su et al.
1 citations
Cell Reports
Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
1.43
article

Confidence bias prescribes the neurocomputational mechanism of decision-making

Weiwen Lu, Sidong Wang, Yinmei Ni, Jie Su, Xiaohong Wan, Fanru Sun
article en
1 citations

Abstract

A couple of decision-making models with different ingredients have successfully interpreted choices, confidence, and related neural activities. However, empirical and theoretical evidence is currently lacking to distinguish these models clearly. Here, we investigated the decision-congruent confidence bias, where confidence favors evidence from the chosen option, yet the choice and its correctness or optimality are determined equally by alternative evidence strengths across both perceptual and value-based decision-making tasks. This confidence bias is manifested by confidence-coding neural activities, particularly in the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex. Further analyses on an array of neurocomputational models show that only the decision-making model equipped with mutual inhibition and an urgency signal can produce such a selective bias across almost all parameter regimes. These findings suggest that mutual inhibition and an urgency signal are two indispensable features embedded in the decision-making process, while confidence bias might be its consequence.

Cell ReportsVol. 44(5)
McGovern Institute for Brain Research (US), Beijing Normal University (CN), Chinese Institute for Brain Research (CN)
National Science and Technology Planning Project
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 20%
Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies
1.43
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Confidence bias prescribes the neurocomputational mechanism of decision-making — Weiwen Lu, Sidong Wang, et al. · Cell Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS