Investigating the Trend Changes in Temperature Extreme Indices in Iran

It is necessary to evaluate the response of extreme events to global warming across different climates and geographical regions. This study aims to examine the trend changes of 13 temperature extreme indices over a 30-year statistical period from 1990 to 2020, using daily maximum and minimum temperature data from 37 synoptic stations in Iran. The Mann–Kendall trend test was employed to analyze the data trends. The results indicate that, except for the two indices, frost days (FDs) and ice days (IDs), the temperature extreme indices show an increasing trend across the country. The forward and backward graphs of the Mann–Kendall test reveal that the trend of the indices is significant at the 0.05 significance level, with the two indices TNn and TXn intersecting in 2009. This indicates that a mutation occurred in that year, where the increasing slope of the trend after the mutation is greater than the slope of the trend before the mutation. Moreover, the decadal changes of the indices in the three decades 1990–2000, 2000–2010, and 2010–2020 demonstrate that the highest increasing trend in temperature occurred in the second and third decades.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmosphere
Published
2025-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16040483
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.11

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article

Investigating the Trend Changes in Temperature Extreme Indices in Iran

Ebrahim Fattahi, Maral Habibi, Saeedeh Kamali
1 citations
Atmosphere
Climate variability and models
1.11
article

Investigating the Trend Changes in Temperature Extreme Indices in Iran

Ebrahim Fattahi, Maral Habibi, Saeedeh Kamali
article en
1 citations

Abstract

It is necessary to evaluate the response of extreme events to global warming across different climates and geographical regions. This study aims to examine the trend changes of 13 temperature extreme indices over a 30-year statistical period from 1990 to 2020, using daily maximum and minimum temperature data from 37 synoptic stations in Iran. The Mann–Kendall trend test was employed to analyze the data trends. The results indicate that, except for the two indices, frost days (FDs) and ice days (IDs), the temperature extreme indices show an increasing trend across the country. The forward and backward graphs of the Mann–Kendall test reveal that the trend of the indices is significant at the 0.05 significance level, with the two indices TNn and TXn intersecting in 2009. This indicates that a mutation occurred in that year, where the increasing slope of the trend after the mutation is greater than the slope of the trend before the mutation. Moreover, the decadal changes of the indices in the three decades 1990–2000, 2000–2010, and 2010–2020 demonstrate that the highest increasing trend in temperature occurred in the second and third decades.

AtmosphereVol. 16(4)
University of Graz (AT), Iran Meteorological Organization (IR)
Karl-Franzens-Universität Graz
Openalex Percentile: Top 25%
Climate variability and models
1.11
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Investigating the Trend Changes in Temperature Extreme Indices in Iran — Ebrahim Fattahi, Maral Habibi, et al. · Atmosphere (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS