Abstract 4917: The association between MGUS and CHIP and their impact on multiple myeloma

Abstract Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is a precursor to multiple myeloma (MM). Clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) is a precursor to either myeloid or lymphoid malignancy, depending on whether the mutation is in a gene associated with lymphoid (L-CHIP) or myeloid (M-CHIP) outcome. Little is known about the association between CHIP and MGUS and their combined effect on risk of MM. We examined this question within Mayo Clinic Biobank cohort of participants aged 50 years or older with no prior history of hematological malignancies. Using whole blood, individuals were screened for MGUS using a matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization-time of flight (MALDI-TOF) mass spectrometry assay. M-CHIP and L-CHIP were defined based on mutations in 56 genes associated with myeloid malignancies or mutations in 235 genes associated with lymphoid malignancies, respectively, using whole-exome-sequencing. Incident MM was identified using International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes and confirmed via medical record review. Logistic regression was used to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals for the association of CHIP and MGUS. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR), with time defined as date between blood sample and the first incident MM, date of death, or 12/31/2023. All models were adjusted for age and sex. Of the 16, 479 individuals (median age 65 years, 45% male) screened, 12.3% were positive for MGUS, 9.8% were positive for M-CHIP, and 1.5% were positive for L-CHIP. There was no evidence of an association between M-CHIP and MGUS (OR=0.97, 95% CI:0.83-1.12) nor L-CHIP and MGUS (OR=1.12, 95% CI:0.78-1.57), including with any MGUS isotype (IgA, IgG, or IgM; P-values>0.22). Next, we investigated the association of these precursors on risk of MM. Median follow-up was 11.7 years (range 0.1-15.1), and 46 individuals developed incident MM. Both MGUS (HR=29.7, 95% CI: 14.1-62.4) and L-CHIP (HR=4.1, 95% CI: 1.3-13.2) were significantly associated with incident MM, but not M-CHIP (HR-1.0, 95% CI: 0.4-2.5). Investigating the combined effect of MGUS and L-CHIP, we found those with MGUS alone had a 27.5-fold (95% CI: 13.0-58.2) increased risk of incident MM compared to those with no precursors. No individuals with L-CHIP only developed MM, but those with both L-CHIP and MGUS had a 129.4-fold (95% CI: 34.4-486.4) increased risk of incident MM. In the largest cohort with screened MGUS and CHIP, we found no evidence of an association between either definition of CHIP with MGUS. However, individuals with both L-CHIP and MGUS were at the highest risk of developing MM. Citation Format: Nicholas J. Boddicker, Cristine Allmer, Danelle H. Moonen, Aaron D. Norman, Angelica Macauda, Alyssa Clay-Gilmour, Janet E. Olson, Mrinal S. Patnaik, Vincent Rajkumar, Esteban Braggio, David L. Murray, Shaji Kumar, Susan L. Slager, Celine M. Vachon. The association between MGUS and CHIP and their impact on multiple myeloma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 4917.