The development of CC-TF-BiGRU model for enhancing accuracy in photovoltaic power forecasting

In the face of escalating global energy crises and pressing challenges of environmental pollution, the imperative for sustainable energy solutions has never been more pronounced. Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is recognized as a cornerstone in transition towards a clean energy paradigm. This study introduces a groundbreaking short-term PV power forecasting methodology based on teacher forcing (TF) integrated with bi-directional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU). Firstly, the chaotic feature extraction is synergistically employed in conjunction with the C-C method to meticulously discern the pivotal factors that shape the dynamics of PV power, complemented by the inclusion for solar radiation data as an additional element. Besides, a potent fusion of gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) and BiGRU is leveraged to adeptly process time series data. Moreover, teacher forcing is seamlessly integrated into the model to bolster forecasting accuracy and stability. Experimental validations demonstrate the remarkable performance of the proposed method under complex and diverse weather conditions, offering a pioneering technical approach and theoretical framework for PV power forecasting.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-99109-2
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
7.44

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article

The development of CC-TF-BiGRU model for enhancing accuracy in photovoltaic power forecasting

Guomin Xie, Sen Xie, Zijian Zhang, Zhongbao Lin
3 citations
Scientific Reports
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
7.44
article

The development of CC-TF-BiGRU model for enhancing accuracy in photovoltaic power forecasting

Guomin Xie, Sen Xie, Zijian Zhang, Zhongbao Lin
article en
3 citations

Abstract

In the face of escalating global energy crises and pressing challenges of environmental pollution, the imperative for sustainable energy solutions has never been more pronounced. Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is recognized as a cornerstone in transition towards a clean energy paradigm. This study introduces a groundbreaking short-term PV power forecasting methodology based on teacher forcing (TF) integrated with bi-directional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU). Firstly, the chaotic feature extraction is synergistically employed in conjunction with the C-C method to meticulously discern the pivotal factors that shape the dynamics of PV power, complemented by the inclusion for solar radiation data as an additional element. Besides, a potent fusion of gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) and BiGRU is leveraged to adeptly process time series data. Moreover, teacher forcing is seamlessly integrated into the model to bolster forecasting accuracy and stability. Experimental validations demonstrate the remarkable performance of the proposed method under complex and diverse weather conditions, offering a pioneering technical approach and theoretical framework for PV power forecasting.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Liaoning Technical University (CN)
Shenzhen Polytechnic, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Department of Education of Guangdong Province
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
7.44
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The development of CC-TF-BiGRU model for enhancing accuracy in photovoltaic power forecasting — Guomin Xie, Sen Xie, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS