Dynamical analysis of scabies delayed epidemic model with second-order global stability

Scabies is a highly transmitted skin disease that can affect people of all ages, especially children. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa are the regions most affected. For the study of the dynamics of scabies in the population, the mathematical model is designed with delay differential equations (DDEs) for four subpopulations: unvaccinated individuals, vaccinated individuals, infected individuals, and recovered individuals. The fundamental properties of the model, such as positivity, boundedness, existence, and uniqueness, are proved. The equilibria, reproduction number, sensitivity analysis, and (Local and Global) stabilities for the second order are studied rigorously. The numerical simulations were performed to confirm the validity of their theoretical results. The study's findings suggest delay-based modeling of scabies and the advanced stability analysis provides a better understanding of epidemic management and disease dynamics over time.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLoS ONE
Published
2025-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0319095
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Dermatological diseases and infestations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.58
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article

Dynamical analysis of scabies delayed epidemic model with second-order global stability

Muhammad Rafiq, Nauman Ahmed, Ali Raza, Wafa F. Alfwzan et al.
4 citations
PLoS ONE
Dermatological diseases and infestations
5.58
article

Dynamical analysis of scabies delayed epidemic model with second-order global stability

Muhammad Rafiq, Nauman Ahmed, Ali Raza, Wafa F. Alfwzan, Emad Fadhal, Muhammad Bilal, Eugénio M. Rocha
article en
4 citations

Abstract

Scabies is a highly transmitted skin disease that can affect people of all ages, especially children. According to the World Health Organization (WHO), South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa are the regions most affected. For the study of the dynamics of scabies in the population, the mathematical model is designed with delay differential equations (DDEs) for four subpopulations: unvaccinated individuals, vaccinated individuals, infected individuals, and recovered individuals. The fundamental properties of the model, such as positivity, boundedness, existence, and uniqueness, are proved. The equilibria, reproduction number, sensitivity analysis, and (Local and Global) stabilities for the second order are studied rigorously. The numerical simulations were performed to confirm the validity of their theoretical results. The study's findings suggest delay-based modeling of scabies and the advanced stability analysis provides a better understanding of epidemic management and disease dynamics over time.

PLoS ONEVol. 20(4)
Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University (SA), University of Lahore (PK), Namal University (PK), The University of Chenab, Gujrat, King Faisal University (SA), Lebanese American University (LB), University of Aveiro (PT), University of Gujrat (PK)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Dermatological diseases and infestations
5.58
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Dynamical analysis of scabies delayed epidemic model with second-order global stability — Muhammad Rafiq, Nauman Ahmed, et al. · PLoS ONE (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS