Abstract 2274: Implications of multiple myeloma polygenic risk scores (PRS) for MGUS

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) of multiple myeloma (MM) in individuals of genetic European ancestry (EA) have identified 35 susceptibility loci. Co-heritability analyses have revealed a strong genetic correlation between MM and its precursor condition, monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Previous research validated the association between a polygenic risk score (PRS) based on 23 MM risk loci and the risk of MGUS. Went and colleagues recently reported 12 new MM risk loci. We constructed a MM-PRS using all 35 MM risk variants and assessed its association with MGUS. Additionally, among individuals with MGUS, we assessed associations of MM-PRS with established prognostic factors [M-protein (<0.2 g/dL; 0.2-1.5 g/dL; >1.5 g/dL); isotype (IgG, IgA, IgM); free light chain (FLC) ratio (Normal (0.26-1.65), Abnormal (<0.26 or >1.65))]. Our study population included 1,723 individuals with MGUS seen at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN and 14,175 controls from the Mayo Clinic Biobank who lived in the 27-county region around Rochester, MN, and screened negative for MGUS using MALDI-TOF MS. The majority of MGUS patients and controls were of EA. We used logistic or multinomial regression to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). All models were adjusted for age, sex, and the first three principal components. The MM-PRS was significantly associated with MGUS when assessed continuously (OR, 1.28 per standard deviation (SD); 95% CI, 1.22-1.35). When comparing to the middle quintile of the MM-PRS distribution, individuals in the highest quintile had 1.41-fold increased risk of MGUS (95% CI, 1.21-1.64), and individuals in the lowest quintile had 0.68 decreased risk of MGUS (95% CI, 0.57-0.81). Of the 35 SNPs evaluated, 27 demonstrated consistent directions of effect for risk of MGUS with published risk estimates for MM. The effect of MM-PRS differed by isotype (P = 2.2 x 105), with higher MM-PRS associated with IgA MGUS (OR, 1.40 per SD; 95% CI, 1.08-1.81) and a lower MM-PRS associated with IgM (OR, 0.66 per SD; 95% CI, 0.52-0.84) compared to IgG MGUS. The MM-PRS was higher in MGUS patients with M-protein > 1.5 g/dL compared to M-protein of size 0.2-1.5 g/dL, although not statistically significant (OR, 1.41 per SD; 95% CI, 0.95-2.08); there were no differences in the MM-PRS between MGUS patients with M-protein size <0.2 g/dL compared to 0.2-1.5 g/dL (OR, 1.01 per SD;95% CI, 0.81-1.26). There were also no differences in MM-PRS by FLC ratio, (OR, 0.95 per SD; 95% CI, 0.852-1.10 for abnormal vs. normal). Our findings of an association of the MM-PRS with risk of MGUS provides further evidence for shared heritability between MGUS and MM. Future studies are needed to examine whether the expanded MM-PRS adds to existing models for MGUS progression. Citation Format: Angelica Macauda, Alyssa Clay-Gilmour, Cristine Allmer, Danelle Moonen, Aaron D. Normann, Nicholas J. Boddicker, Joselle M. Cook, Linda Baughn, Elizabeth E. Brown, Vincent S. Rajkumar, Esteban Braggio, David L. Murray, Susan L. Slager, Shaji Kumar, Celine M. Vachon. Implications of multiple myeloma polygenic risk scores (PRS) for MGUS [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2025; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2025 Apr 25-30; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2025;85(8_Suppl_1):Abstract nr 2274.