An Extension of Interval Probabilities using Modal Interval Theory and its Application to Non-life Insurance

Abstract In this paper we apply the modal interval theory to the actuarial field to study the analysis and control of solvency in non-life insurance portfolios. The advantages of modal intervals over classical intervals are the interpretative field and the extension of the calculation possibilities that modal intervals offer. To achieve this, we will analyse and propose some properties of modal interval probability that allow us to ensure that the cumulative distribution function and the probability density function of the aggregated cost with which we will work are modal interval functions and, therefore, they can be correctly interpreted from this new point of view.

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Publication Details

Journal
Methodology And Computing In Applied Probability
Published
2025-04-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11009-025-10164-8
Primary Topic
Fuzzy Systems and Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

An Extension of Interval Probabilities using Modal Interval Theory and its Application to Non-life Insurance

Maite Mármol, Román Adillón, Lambert Jorba
Methodology And Computing In Applied Probability
Fuzzy Systems and Optimization
article

An Extension of Interval Probabilities using Modal Interval Theory and its Application to Non-life Insurance

Maite Mármol, Román Adillón, Lambert Jorba
article en

Abstract

Abstract In this paper we apply the modal interval theory to the actuarial field to study the analysis and control of solvency in non-life insurance portfolios. The advantages of modal intervals over classical intervals are the interpretative field and the extension of the calculation possibilities that modal intervals offer. To achieve this, we will analyse and propose some properties of modal interval probability that allow us to ensure that the cumulative distribution function and the probability density function of the aggregated cost with which we will work are modal interval functions and, therefore, they can be correctly interpreted from this new point of view.

Methodology And Computing In Applied ProbabilityVol. 27(2)
Universitat de Barcelona (ES)
Universitat de Barcelona
Openalex Percentile: Top 92%
Fuzzy Systems and Optimization
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