Study on the Contribution of Shale Gas Exploitation and Utilization to Carbon Emission Reduction Based on LEAP Modeling

The development and utilization of shale gas is the main path to solve the current high carbon dioxide emissions, and this paper proposes to use the LEAP model to explore the role of shale gas development and utilization on carbon emission reduction in all aspects.Under the principle and de inition of LEAP model framework, shale gas development and utilization scenarios and parameters are determined to facilitate the research and analysis work, and in order to realize the intelligent monitoring of carbon emission reduction work, the neural network two-layer carbon emission reduction prediction model is constructed.With the support of research data and LEAP model, the relationship between shale gas development and utilization and carbon emission reduction is studied and analyzed, and the carbon pulse analysis and prediction model validation model of LEAR simulation results are also supplemented.Although all three scenarios have different contributions to carbon emission reduction, the green scenario is the most obvious means of carbon dioxide emission reduction, with a total of 52.87 from 2010 to 2050, and the prediction model in this paper is able to satisfy the current demand for carbon dioxide emission reduction work, and provide a guiding reference for urban carbon emission reduction.