Human Resource Development Management in the Context of Current Migratory and Security Threats

In today's realities and under pressure from global migration processes, security threats and economic instability, the issue of human capital development management is of particular importance, as the ability of business structures to adapt to changes in the external environment, demographic transformations and technological challenges depends on the level of competence and flexibility of labor resources. The study is based on the method of multidimensional scaling, which allows the assessment of the professional level of human capital by transforming quantitative indicators into qualitative ones on a five-point scale. The author's own formula is used for the assessment, taking into account the weighting coefficients, and the consistency of expert assessments is determined through the coefficient of multiple concordance. An econometric model for assessing the level of human capital development, taking into account professional indicators, has been developed. The model uses weighting coefficients determined through expert ranking and contains an analysis of consistency by the concordance coefficient, which ensures high reliability of the results, confirmed by statistical criteria. The model creates conditions for transforming quantitative assessments into qualitative levels, which contributes to a more accurate analysis of human capital in the context of both migration and security challenges. Further research can be aimed at improving methods for assessing universal skills, developing programs for integrating migrants into the system of continuous learning and creating tools for forecasting competence needs in the context of digital transformation and geopolitical changes, which will help to improve the efficiency of human capital management at all levels of the country's economy.