Global geothermal electricity potentials: A technical, economic, and thermal renewability assessment

Geothermal energy can play an important role in dispatchable power generation. However, no detailed global energy potential exists. This study calculates the global energy potential for enhanced geothermal power and determines its impact on the energy supply of countries. In this work, the first detailed land eligibility analysis for enhanced geothermal power is conducted, three reservoir models (Gringarten, Volume Method and Sustainable Approach) are compared. The results show that land eligibility is highly dependent on local conditions and varies from <5 to 72 % eligibility with a global average of 25 %. The Gringarten model is the only one to reach realistic production rates and thus economically feasible production plants. Global hotspots for geothermal power below 5 ct € /kWh el are found in 17 specific countries in the developing world, as well as in Russia, Iceland, Hungary and Japan. Below 10 ct € /kWh el , potential can be found throughout the Americas, Africa and Southeast Asia. Therefore, deep geothermal energy can be a cheap and reliable source of electricity for developing countries. However, its use for developing countries depends on the cost reduction for geothermal drilling by the developed nations. For countries such as USA, Japan, China, geothermal power can only partially supply their energy systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Renewable Energy
Published
2025-04-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2025.123199
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Geothermal Energy Systems and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.63

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article

Global geothermal electricity potentials: A technical, economic, and thermal renewability assessment

Detlef Stolten, Heidi Heinrichs, David Franzmann
10 citations
Renewable Energy
Geothermal Energy Systems and Applications
3.63
article

Global geothermal electricity potentials: A technical, economic, and thermal renewability assessment

Detlef Stolten, Heidi Heinrichs, David Franzmann
article en
10 citations

Abstract

Geothermal energy can play an important role in dispatchable power generation. However, no detailed global energy potential exists. This study calculates the global energy potential for enhanced geothermal power and determines its impact on the energy supply of countries. In this work, the first detailed land eligibility analysis for enhanced geothermal power is conducted, three reservoir models (Gringarten, Volume Method and Sustainable Approach) are compared. The results show that land eligibility is highly dependent on local conditions and varies from <5 to 72 % eligibility with a global average of 25 %. The Gringarten model is the only one to reach realistic production rates and thus economically feasible production plants. Global hotspots for geothermal power below 5 ct € /kWh el are found in 17 specific countries in the developing world, as well as in Russia, Iceland, Hungary and Japan. Below 10 ct € /kWh el , potential can be found throughout the Americas, Africa and Southeast Asia. Therefore, deep geothermal energy can be a cheap and reliable source of electricity for developing countries. However, its use for developing countries depends on the cost reduction for geothermal drilling by the developed nations. For countries such as USA, Japan, China, geothermal power can only partially supply their energy systems.

Renewable EnergyVol. 250
Forschungszentrum Jülich (DE), RWTH Aachen University (DE)
European Commission, Helmholtz Association, European Research Council
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Geothermal Energy Systems and Applications
3.63
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Global geothermal electricity potentials: A technical, economic, and thermal renewability assessment — Detlef Stolten, Heidi Heinrichs, et al. · Renewable Energy (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS