Optimization and Finite Element Simulation of Wear Prediction Model for Hot Rolling Rolls

Roll wear significantly affects production efficiency and product quality in hot-rolled strip steel manufacturing by reducing roll lifespan and impeding the control of strip shape. This study addresses these challenges through a comprehensive analysis of the roll wear mechanism and the integration of an elastic deformation model. We propose an optimized wear prediction model for work and backup rolls in a hot continuous rolling finishing mill, dynamically accounting for variations in strip specifications and cumulative wear effects. A three-dimensional elastic–plastic thermo-mechanical coupled finite element model was established using MARC 2020 software, with experimental calibration of wear coefficients under specific production conditions. The developed dynamic simulation software achieved high-precision wear prediction, validated by field measurements. The optimized model reduced prediction deviations for work and backup rolls to 0.012 and 0.004, respectively, improving accuracy by 5.3% and 3.25% for uniform and mixed strip specifications. This research provides a robust theoretical framework and practical tool for precision roll wear management in industrial hot rolling processes.