Ultra-short-term power prediction method of photovoltaic power stations based on ConvLSTM and multimodule fusion algorithm

This paper proposes an ultra-short-term power prediction algorithm for new PV stations using AI technology. Its goal is to accurately predict PV station output power during peak sunlight hours. The algorithm includes small model, residual, Kalman, and neural network fusion modules. Compared to previous methods, this scheme reduces data dependence, deployment time, and improves accuracy, it is helpful to solve the phenomenon of light abandonment of photovoltaic power stations, reduce the peak shaving pressure of power grid, and promote the sustainable development of renewable energy.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3064844
Primary Topic
Power Systems and Technologies
Type
article
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article

Ultra-short-term power prediction method of photovoltaic power stations based on ConvLSTM and multimodule fusion algorithm

Miao Zheng, Kai Hu, Bo Lin, Jiayi Shao
Power Systems and Technologies
article

Ultra-short-term power prediction method of photovoltaic power stations based on ConvLSTM and multimodule fusion algorithm

Miao Zheng, Kai Hu, Bo Lin, Jiayi Shao
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes an ultra-short-term power prediction algorithm for new PV stations using AI technology. Its goal is to accurately predict PV station output power during peak sunlight hours. The algorithm includes small model, residual, Kalman, and neural network fusion modules. Compared to previous methods, this scheme reduces data dependence, deployment time, and improves accuracy, it is helpful to solve the phenomenon of light abandonment of photovoltaic power stations, reduce the peak shaving pressure of power grid, and promote the sustainable development of renewable energy.

Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), ASM Pacific Technology (China) (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Power Systems and Technologies
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Ultra-short-term power prediction method of photovoltaic power stations based on ConvLSTM and multimodule fusion algorithm — Miao Zheng, Kai Hu, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS