Prediction Method of Slope Sliding Long‐Term Deformation Considering Rainfall

Despite extensive research on slope seepage mechanisms, a reliable long‐term prediction method for slope deformation considering rainfall remains undeveloped, largely due to the complexity of rainfall‐induced slope instability. This study leverages a project in slope engineering to explore slope deformation under heavy rainfall using intelligent monitoring techniques and genetic algorithm (GA) optimization for neural network prediction. By analyzing slope deformation patterns under varied rainfall intensities, results reveal that limited rainfall has minimal impact on slope stability, whereas excessive rainfall disrupts internal seepage patterns, increasing pore water pressure and reducing soil shear strength, it thereby enhances the risk of slope instability and potential landslides, significantly impacting slope stability. The GA‐optimized network accurately captures abrupt slope deformation stages, avoids local optima, and provides a viable framework for early warning of slope instability.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Civil Engineering
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1155/adce/6363972
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Landslides and related hazards
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.84

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article

Prediction Method of Slope Sliding Long‐Term Deformation Considering Rainfall

Tao Yan, Ke Du, X Z Liu, Hongwei Xia et al.
2 citations
Advances in Civil Engineering
Landslides and related hazards
4.84
article

Prediction Method of Slope Sliding Long‐Term Deformation Considering Rainfall

Tao Yan, Ke Du, X Z Liu, Hongwei Xia, Qihui Chen, He Jiang
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Despite extensive research on slope seepage mechanisms, a reliable long‐term prediction method for slope deformation considering rainfall remains undeveloped, largely due to the complexity of rainfall‐induced slope instability. This study leverages a project in slope engineering to explore slope deformation under heavy rainfall using intelligent monitoring techniques and genetic algorithm (GA) optimization for neural network prediction. By analyzing slope deformation patterns under varied rainfall intensities, results reveal that limited rainfall has minimal impact on slope stability, whereas excessive rainfall disrupts internal seepage patterns, increasing pore water pressure and reducing soil shear strength, it thereby enhances the risk of slope instability and potential landslides, significantly impacting slope stability. The GA‐optimized network accurately captures abrupt slope deformation stages, avoids local optima, and provides a viable framework for early warning of slope instability.

Advances in Civil EngineeringVol. 2025(1)
East China Jiaotong University (CN), Hohai University (CN), Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute (CN), Ningxia Water Conservancy (CN), Jiangsu Institute of Hydraulic Science and Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Water Conservancy Science and Technology Project of Jiangsu Province
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Landslides and related hazards
4.84
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Prediction Method of Slope Sliding Long‐Term Deformation Considering Rainfall — Tao Yan, Ke Du, et al. · Advances in Civil Engineering (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS