Predicting plant trait dynamics from genetic markers
Molecular and physiological changes across crop developmental stages shape the plant phenome and render its prediction from genetic markers challenging. Here we present dynamicGP, an efficient computational approach that combines genomic prediction with dynamic mode decomposition to characterize the temporal changes and to predict genotype-specific dynamics for multiple morphometric, geometric and colourimetric traits scored by high-throughput phenotyping. Using genetic markers and data from high-throughput phenotyping of a maize multiparent advanced generation inter-cross population and an Arabidopsis thaliana diversity panel, we show that dynamicGP outperforms a baseline genomic prediction approach for the multiple traits. We demonstrate that the developmental dynamics of traits whose heritability varies less over time can be predicted with higher accuracy. The approach paves the way for interrogating and integrating the dynamical interactions between genotype and environment over plant development to improve the prediction accuracy of agronomically relevant traits.
Authors
- Alain J Mbebi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1170-8672)
- Hao Tong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4856-1336)
- Marc C. Heuermann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5520-5287)
- Matteo Dell’Acqua (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5703-8382)
- Roosa A. E. Laitinen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3317-4667)
- Thomas Altmann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3759-360X)
- Zoran Nikoloski (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2671-6763)
- David Hobby (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2790-4029)
Institutions
- University of Helsinki (FI)
- Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna (IT)
- University of Potsdam (DE)
- Max Planck Institute of Molecular Plant Physiology (DE)
- Leibniz-Institut für Pflanzengenetik und Kulturpflanzenforschung (IPK) (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Plants
- Published
- 2025-04-17
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41477-025-01986-y
- Citations
- 9
- Primary Topic
- Genetic Mapping and Diversity in Plants and Animals
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 16.36
Funders
- European Commission
- Max-Planck-Gesellschaft
- Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
- HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme