Study Protocol for Applying Trend Impact Analysis in Health Futures Studies: A Methodological Approach Illustrated by HIV/AIDS Forecasting in Iran
The limitations in forecasting the future using quantitative methods and ignoring the effects of unexpected events can lead to "surprises-free" predictions and cause deviations from estimates and plans. To address this, using innovative approaches in the methodology of studies is crucial. It provides the groundwork for intelligent planning to face the future, ensuring the health field remains dynamic and responsive to change and fostering an optimistic outlook.
Authors
- Farid Najafi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8530-7180)
- Ali Akbar Haghdoost (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4628-4849)
- Hamid Pour Sharifi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9008-7618)
- Mostafa Hosseini Golkar (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1277-8613)
- Alikhani Alireza (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3790-8429)
Institutions
- University of California, San Francisco (US)
- Kerman University of Medical Sciences (IR)
- Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences (IR)
- Global Brain Health Institute (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Health Science Reports
- Published
- 2025-04-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1002/hsr2.70670
- Primary Topic
- HIV/AIDS Impact and Responses
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Kerman University of Medical Sciences