Research on Carbon Emission Forecastingin the Agricultural and Livestock Industry- A Case Study of Sichuan Province, China

China's agriculture and animal husbandry industry has entered a phase of rapid development.At the same time, the production process of agriculture and animal husbandry generates a large amount of greenhouse gas emissions.This thesis focuses on predicting carbon emissions from agriculture and animal husbandry, i.e., predicting carbon emissions in areas where cultivation and animal husbandry coexist.This thesis assumes that the future carbon emissions from agriculture and animal husbandry in Sichuan Province, China, are predictable.This thesis introduces the regression algorithm in machine learning the carbon emissions of agriculture and animal husbandry, mainly RF (Random Forest Regression Algorithm), and proposes that the combined model of carbon emissions of agriculture and animal husbandry is the FA-ACO-RF model (Factor Analysis-Ant Colony Optimization-Random Forest Regression Algorithm).Empirical evidence of carbon emission prediction in agriculture and animal husbandry was conducted in the Sichuan Province of China as an example, and the results showed that the prediction accuracy reached 99.19%.It is concluded that the FA-ACO-RF model can effectively and accurately predict carbon emissions from agriculture and animal husbandry in Sichuan Province.

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Publication Details

Journal
Polish Journal of Environmental Studies
Published
2025-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.15244/pjoes/201938
Primary Topic
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Research on Carbon Emission Forecastingin the Agricultural and Livestock Industry- A Case Study of Sichuan Province, China

Minwei Chai, Yuting Deng, Yanwei Qi, Xiaoqing Luo et al.
Polish Journal of Environmental Studies
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
article

Research on Carbon Emission Forecastingin the Agricultural and Livestock Industry- A Case Study of Sichuan Province, China

Minwei Chai, Yuting Deng, Yanwei Qi, Xiaoqing Luo, Bo Song, Jixu Zhu
article en

Abstract

China's agriculture and animal husbandry industry has entered a phase of rapid development.At the same time, the production process of agriculture and animal husbandry generates a large amount of greenhouse gas emissions.This thesis focuses on predicting carbon emissions from agriculture and animal husbandry, i.e., predicting carbon emissions in areas where cultivation and animal husbandry coexist.This thesis assumes that the future carbon emissions from agriculture and animal husbandry in Sichuan Province, China, are predictable.This thesis introduces the regression algorithm in machine learning the carbon emissions of agriculture and animal husbandry, mainly RF (Random Forest Regression Algorithm), and proposes that the combined model of carbon emissions of agriculture and animal husbandry is the FA-ACO-RF model (Factor Analysis-Ant Colony Optimization-Random Forest Regression Algorithm).Empirical evidence of carbon emission prediction in agriculture and animal husbandry was conducted in the Sichuan Province of China as an example, and the results showed that the prediction accuracy reached 99.19%.It is concluded that the FA-ACO-RF model can effectively and accurately predict carbon emissions from agriculture and animal husbandry in Sichuan Province.

Polish Journal of Environmental Studies
Guangzhou University (CN), Guangzhou Electronic Technology (China) (CN)
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
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Research on Carbon Emission Forecastingin the Agricultural and Livestock Industry- A Case Study of Sichuan Province, China — Minwei Chai, Yuting Deng, et al. · Polish Journal of Environmental Studies (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS