Population aging mitigates food consumption-induced non-CO2 GHG emissions in China

China has been experiencing rapidly growing agricultural non-CO2 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and aged population owing to its vast population and enormous food demands. However, the response of non-CO2 GHG emission to population aging-related food consumption is unclear. The food inspection survey reveals a significant difference in ruminant meat and staple food grain (typically rice) consumption between aged and young populations during the past decades. As a result, this dietary pattern in the aging population of 60+ reduce non-CO2 GHG emissions from 1.0 Tg CO2eq in 2005 to 10.1 Tg CO2eq in 2020 by one order of magnitude. By 2050, the net total non-CO2 GHG emissions from population aging-induced changes in food consumption will be further reduced by 34.5 Tg CO2eq under the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), of which 86.8% is attributed to decreasing ruminant meat consumption (RMC), or 29.9 Tg CO2eq, accounting for 15.3% of total non-CO2 GHG emission from China’s RMC in 2050.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2025-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01038-4
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.40

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article

Population aging mitigates food consumption-induced non-CO2 GHG emissions in China

Shu Min Tao, Xiaohu Jian, Hong Gao, Kai‐Jie Chen et al.
3 citations
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
2.40
article

Population aging mitigates food consumption-induced non-CO2 GHG emissions in China

Shu Min Tao, Xiaohu Jian, Hong Gao, Kai‐Jie Chen, Jianmin Ma, Tao Huang, Junfeng Liu, Xiaodong Zhang, Xinrui Liu, Yuan Zhao, Yunchao Jiang
article en
3 citations

Abstract

China has been experiencing rapidly growing agricultural non-CO2 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and aged population owing to its vast population and enormous food demands. However, the response of non-CO2 GHG emission to population aging-related food consumption is unclear. The food inspection survey reveals a significant difference in ruminant meat and staple food grain (typically rice) consumption between aged and young populations during the past decades. As a result, this dietary pattern in the aging population of 60+ reduce non-CO2 GHG emissions from 1.0 Tg CO2eq in 2005 to 10.1 Tg CO2eq in 2020 by one order of magnitude. By 2050, the net total non-CO2 GHG emissions from population aging-induced changes in food consumption will be further reduced by 34.5 Tg CO2eq under the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), of which 86.8% is attributed to decreasing ruminant meat consumption (RMC), or 29.9 Tg CO2eq, accounting for 15.3% of total non-CO2 GHG emission from China’s RMC in 2050.

npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceVol. 8(1)
Peking University (CN), Lanzhou University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, National Key Research and Development Program of China
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Environmental Impact and Sustainability
2.40
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Population aging mitigates food consumption-induced non-CO2 GHG emissions in China — Shu Min Tao, Xiaohu Jian, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS