Population aging mitigates food consumption-induced non-CO2 GHG emissions in China
China has been experiencing rapidly growing agricultural non-CO2 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and aged population owing to its vast population and enormous food demands. However, the response of non-CO2 GHG emission to population aging-related food consumption is unclear. The food inspection survey reveals a significant difference in ruminant meat and staple food grain (typically rice) consumption between aged and young populations during the past decades. As a result, this dietary pattern in the aging population of 60+ reduce non-CO2 GHG emissions from 1.0 Tg CO2eq in 2005 to 10.1 Tg CO2eq in 2020 by one order of magnitude. By 2050, the net total non-CO2 GHG emissions from population aging-induced changes in food consumption will be further reduced by 34.5 Tg CO2eq under the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), of which 86.8% is attributed to decreasing ruminant meat consumption (RMC), or 29.9 Tg CO2eq, accounting for 15.3% of total non-CO2 GHG emission from China’s RMC in 2050.
Authors
- Shu Min Tao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7374-7063)
- Xiaohu Jian (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-8284-567X)
- Hong Gao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4513-1322)
- Kai‐Jie Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7581-6571)
- Jianmin Ma
- Tao Huang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2054-8087)
- Junfeng Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7199-6357)
- Xiaodong Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1360-2217)
- Xinrui Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6363-6979)
- Yuan Zhao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0549-6407)
- Yunchao Jiang
Institutions
- Peking University (CN)
- Lanzhou University (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
- Published
- 2025-04-16
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01038-4
- Citations
- 3
- Primary Topic
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.40
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
- National Key Research and Development Program of China