How does political uncertainty affect the optimal degree of policy divergence?

Abstract We examine how the optimal degree of policy divergence between two policy platforms in an election is affected by two types of aggregate uncertainty: policy-related and candidate-specific. We show that when the candidate-specific uncertainty is sufficiently large, policy convergence becomes optimal. We also show that when these two types of uncertainty co-exist, only purely office-motivated parties result in policy convergence, in other words, any level of policy motivation of parties results in some policy divergence, making policy motivation undesirable when candidate-specific uncertainty is sufficiently large.

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Publication Details

Journal
Social Choice and Welfare
Published
2025-04-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-025-01595-w
Primary Topic
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

How does political uncertainty affect the optimal degree of policy divergence?

Richard M. H. Suen, R. Emre Aytimur, Aris Boukouras
Social Choice and Welfare
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
article

How does political uncertainty affect the optimal degree of policy divergence?

Richard M. H. Suen, R. Emre Aytimur, Aris Boukouras
article en

Abstract

Abstract We examine how the optimal degree of policy divergence between two policy platforms in an election is affected by two types of aggregate uncertainty: policy-related and candidate-specific. We show that when the candidate-specific uncertainty is sufficiently large, policy convergence becomes optimal. We also show that when these two types of uncertainty co-exist, only purely office-motivated parties result in policy convergence, in other words, any level of policy motivation of parties results in some policy divergence, making policy motivation undesirable when candidate-specific uncertainty is sufficiently large.

Social Choice and WelfareVol. 65(4)
University of Leicester (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Electoral Systems and Political Participation
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