Business cycles fluctuations in three-sector intertemporal equilibrium models

This paper introduces a novel mechanism driving endogenous business cycle fluctuations within a frictionless three-sector intertemporal equilibrium model. We emphasize the critical role of consumer preferences as a primary driver of cyclical dynamics by considering a consumption bundle composed of a pure consumption good and a mixed consumption-investment good that simultaneously serves as both a final consumption good and a capital-accumulating investment good. Endogenous fluctuations naturally arise from sectoral capital intensity differences, an intertemporal consumption trade-off between the two goods, or the interaction of both mechanisms. We offer a detailed characterization of the economy's dynamics, identifying the Hopf bifurcation conditions that trigger persistent cyclical behavior. Additionally, we explore the periodicity of the resulting limit cycles, providing insights into how shifts in preferences and sectoral complementarities can generate self-sustained macroeconomic fluctuations.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Theory
Published
2025-04-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2025.106010
Primary Topic
Economic theories and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Business cycles fluctuations in three-sector intertemporal equilibrium models

Florian Pelgrin, Alain Venditti, Kazuo Nishimura
Journal of Economic Theory
Economic theories and models
article

Business cycles fluctuations in three-sector intertemporal equilibrium models

Florian Pelgrin, Alain Venditti, Kazuo Nishimura
article en

Abstract

This paper introduces a novel mechanism driving endogenous business cycle fluctuations within a frictionless three-sector intertemporal equilibrium model. We emphasize the critical role of consumer preferences as a primary driver of cyclical dynamics by considering a consumption bundle composed of a pure consumption good and a mixed consumption-investment good that simultaneously serves as both a final consumption good and a capital-accumulating investment good. Endogenous fluctuations naturally arise from sectoral capital intensity differences, an intertemporal consumption trade-off between the two goods, or the interaction of both mechanisms. We offer a detailed characterization of the economy's dynamics, identifying the Hopf bifurcation conditions that trigger persistent cyclical behavior. Additionally, we explore the periodicity of the resulting limit cycles, providing insights into how shifts in preferences and sectoral complementarities can generate self-sustained macroeconomic fluctuations.

Journal of Economic TheoryVol. 226
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Aix-Marseille Université (FR), Kobe University (JP), Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales du Nord (FR)
Aix-Marseille Université, Fondation Aix-Marseille Universite, Agence Nationale de la Recherche, Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Openalex Percentile: Top 89%
Economic theories and models
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Business cycles fluctuations in three-sector intertemporal equilibrium models — Florian Pelgrin, Alain Venditti, et al. · Journal of Economic Theory (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS