The Bayesian sinking in Porticello: a predictable convective windstorm?
Abstract The meteorological phenomenon that led to the Bayesian yacht sinking in Sicily at 0206 utc on 19 August 2024 is here investigated. A thunderstorm occurred during the sinking, but uncertainties exist whether a waterspout or a convective windstorm affected the ship. An in‐depth analysis of available observations highlighted that the ship was likely struck by a convective windstorm. The predictability of the event was also investigated. Operational simulations performed with the high‐resolution numerical model ICON initialised one day ahead pointed out that a convective wind gust hazard was predicted over the southern Tyrrhenian Sea during that night.
Authors
- Mario Marcello Miglietta (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2898-1595)
- Thomas Gastaldo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8109-3568)
- Federico Pavan
- Silvana Di Sabatino (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2716-9247)
- Michele Martinazzo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1440-0043)
- Francesco De Martin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5173-8641)
- Matteo Siena (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2416-9540)
Institutions
- Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (IT)
- Agenzia Regionale Prevenzione e Ambiente della Regione Emilia-Romagna (IT)
- National Research Council (IT)
- University of Bologna (IT)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Weather
- Published
- 2025-04-14
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.7715
- Citations
- 3
- Primary Topic
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 3.90