ENSURING THE NECESSARY LEVEL OF INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT BASED ON THE APPLICATION OF A MULTISIGMOIDAL MODEL

Industrial enterprises operate in difficult economic conditions, determined by various economic impacts and external factors, among which the greatest influence is exerted by geopolitical factors caused by uncertainty in commodity markets and processes in mutual settlements. In crisis conditions, more and more representatives of the management pay attention to the application of optimal approaches in the activities of enterprises aimed at increasing the level of innovative development. An important role in determining the ways to find the possibility of producing innovative products is given to the analysis and modeling of economic and production indicators selected on the basis of detailed forecasting. The article presents the results of applying multisigmoid modeling optimized for the specifics of the activities of forest industry enterprises. The data used were indicators of the release of innovative products in the total volume of forest industry production, costs of reforestation, prevention and extinguishing of forest fires. The results of the study are graphically reflected in the analysis of time dependencies by means of a combination of sigmoid functions and the constructed algorithm for implementing the multisigmoid model of innovative development of forest industry enterprises. The necessary indicators were analyzed up to and including 2023, on the basis of which forecasting was carried out for 5 years up to 2028 and the obtained data were analyzed.