Nonparametric estimation of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random terminal time

This paper investigates the nonparametric estimation of the functional coefficients of the forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random terminal time, focusing on both local constant and local linear estimators. We establish the asymptotic properties of these estimators under both long observation time spans and short sampling intervals, providing precise expressions for the bias and variance terms. Moreover, we propose an empirical likelihood method to construct data-driven confidence intervals for these functional coefficients. We conduct numerical simulations to examine the finite-sample properties of the estimators and to compare the performance of the empirical likelihood method with the conventional approach for constructing confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality.

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Publication Details

Journal
Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3934/puqr.2025010
Primary Topic
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Nonparametric estimation of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random terminal time

Shaolin Ji, Linlin Zhu, Chenyao Yu
Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk
Stochastic processes and financial applications
article

Nonparametric estimation of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random terminal time

Shaolin Ji, Linlin Zhu, Chenyao Yu
article en

Abstract

This paper investigates the nonparametric estimation of the functional coefficients of the forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random terminal time, focusing on both local constant and local linear estimators. We establish the asymptotic properties of these estimators under both long observation time spans and short sampling intervals, providing precise expressions for the bias and variance terms. Moreover, we propose an empirical likelihood method to construct data-driven confidence intervals for these functional coefficients. We conduct numerical simulations to examine the finite-sample properties of the estimators and to compare the performance of the empirical likelihood method with the conventional approach for constructing confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality.

Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative RiskVol. 10(2)
Shandong University (CN), China Institute of Finance and Capital Markets (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Stochastic processes and financial applications
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Nonparametric estimation of forward-backward stochastic differential equations with random terminal time — Shaolin Ji, Linlin Zhu, et al. · Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS