Modelling urban carbon emissions for multiple sectors in high spatial resolution for achieving sustainable & net-zero cities

• A multi-sector urban baseline emissions inventory is developed in high-resolution. • Combined-sector GHG emissions per capita were found to be 4.7 tCO 2 -eq. • The largest shares of GHG emissions were from residential and transport activity. • Urban GHG emissions were concentrated around high-density residential areas. • High-resolution emissions models can elucidate local drivers and produce equitable mitigation strategies. Many largescale initiatives and networks have been established to support city efforts and leadership in decarbonisation. An essential first step in these initiatives is developing a Baseline Emissions Inventory (BEI) to understand drivers of current emissions and provide a benchmark that progress can be measured against. There has been increasing interest in emission inventory methods. However, previous research has focused on single sectors, has neglected emissions other than CO 2 , or has not followed a spatial approach. The latter is particularly important to support policy planning and decision-making. This study investigates the development of a novel BEI for a medium-sized city in Ireland to address the methodological knowledge gap in existing literature for a detailed methodology using mainly open-source and spatially resolved data for developing a multi-sectoral BEI in high spatial resolution. Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions including CO 2 , CH 4 , and N 2 O, represented as kilotonnes CO 2 -equivalent (ktCO 2 -eq), were modelled for the Residential; Transport; Commercial & Industrial; Public; Agriculture, Land Use & Fishing (ALUF); and Waste sectors. Total annual emissions were 987 ktCO 2 -eq, with emissions per capita of 4.7 tCO 2 -eq. The Residential sector accounted for 34 % of emissions followed by the Transport (29 %), Commercial & Industrial (22 %), Public (7 %), ALUF (6 %), and Waste (2 %) sectors. The fine-resolution spatial outputs facilitate the investigation of socioeconomic factors alongside GHG emissions helping to elucidate local drivers and produce equitable mitigation strategies. The findings will contribute to effective policy development and the methodologies, developed in accordance with the Global Covenant of Mayors, can be replicated by cities globally.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainable Cities and Society
Published
2025-04-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2025.106370
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Impact of Light on Environment and Health
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
7.74
Controls
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article

Modelling urban carbon emissions for multiple sectors in high spatial resolution for achieving sustainable & net-zero cities

Connor McGookin, Anna C. O’Regan, Marguerite Nyhan, Larry C. Purcell
7 citations
Sustainable Cities and Society
Impact of Light on Environment and Health
7.74
article

Modelling urban carbon emissions for multiple sectors in high spatial resolution for achieving sustainable & net-zero cities

Connor McGookin, Anna C. O’Regan, Marguerite Nyhan, Larry C. Purcell
article en
7 citations

Abstract

• A multi-sector urban baseline emissions inventory is developed in high-resolution. • Combined-sector GHG emissions per capita were found to be 4.7 tCO 2 -eq. • The largest shares of GHG emissions were from residential and transport activity. • Urban GHG emissions were concentrated around high-density residential areas. • High-resolution emissions models can elucidate local drivers and produce equitable mitigation strategies. Many largescale initiatives and networks have been established to support city efforts and leadership in decarbonisation. An essential first step in these initiatives is developing a Baseline Emissions Inventory (BEI) to understand drivers of current emissions and provide a benchmark that progress can be measured against. There has been increasing interest in emission inventory methods. However, previous research has focused on single sectors, has neglected emissions other than CO 2 , or has not followed a spatial approach. The latter is particularly important to support policy planning and decision-making. This study investigates the development of a novel BEI for a medium-sized city in Ireland to address the methodological knowledge gap in existing literature for a detailed methodology using mainly open-source and spatially resolved data for developing a multi-sectoral BEI in high spatial resolution. Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions including CO 2 , CH 4 , and N 2 O, represented as kilotonnes CO 2 -equivalent (ktCO 2 -eq), were modelled for the Residential; Transport; Commercial & Industrial; Public; Agriculture, Land Use & Fishing (ALUF); and Waste sectors. Total annual emissions were 987 ktCO 2 -eq, with emissions per capita of 4.7 tCO 2 -eq. The Residential sector accounted for 34 % of emissions followed by the Transport (29 %), Commercial & Industrial (22 %), Public (7 %), ALUF (6 %), and Waste (2 %) sectors. The fine-resolution spatial outputs facilitate the investigation of socioeconomic factors alongside GHG emissions helping to elucidate local drivers and produce equitable mitigation strategies. The findings will contribute to effective policy development and the methodologies, developed in accordance with the Global Covenant of Mayors, can be replicated by cities globally.

Sustainable Cities and SocietyVol. 126
University College Cork (IE), Energy Technologies Institute (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Impact of Light on Environment and Health
7.74
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