Apollo-Forecast: Overcoming Aliasing and Inference Speed Challenges in Language Models for Time Series Forecasting

Encoding time series into tokens and using language models for processing has been shown to substantially augment the models' ability to generalize to unseen tasks. However, existing language models for time series forecasting encounter several obstacles, including aliasing distortion and prolonged inference times, primarily due to the limitations of quantization processes and the computational demands of large models. This paper introduces Apollo-Forecast, a novel framework that tackles these challenges with two key innovations: the Anti-Aliasing Quantization Module (AAQM) and the Race Decoding (RD) technique. AAQM adeptly encodes sequences into tokens while mitigating high-frequency noise in the original signals, thus enhancing both signal fidelity and overall quantization efficiency. RD employs a draft model to enable parallel processing and results integration, which markedly accelerates the inference speed for long-term predictions, particularly in large-scale models. Extensive experiments on various real-world datasets show that Apollo-Forecast outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 35.41% and 18.99% in WQL and MASE metrics, respectively, in zero-shot scenarios. Furthermore, our method achieves an acceleration of 1.9X-2.7X in inference speed over the baseline methods.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Published
2025-04-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v39i21.34371
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Topic Modeling
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.89

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article

Apollo-Forecast: Overcoming Aliasing and Inference Speed Challenges in Language Models for Time Series Forecasting

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1 citations
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
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article

Apollo-Forecast: Overcoming Aliasing and Inference Speed Challenges in Language Models for Time Series Forecasting

Yunlong Ma, Weiming Shen, Chenze Wang, Yukai Zhao, Tianyi Yin, Jingwei Wang, Min Liu, Han Wang
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Encoding time series into tokens and using language models for processing has been shown to substantially augment the models' ability to generalize to unseen tasks. However, existing language models for time series forecasting encounter several obstacles, including aliasing distortion and prolonged inference times, primarily due to the limitations of quantization processes and the computational demands of large models. This paper introduces Apollo-Forecast, a novel framework that tackles these challenges with two key innovations: the Anti-Aliasing Quantization Module (AAQM) and the Race Decoding (RD) technique. AAQM adeptly encodes sequences into tokens while mitigating high-frequency noise in the original signals, thus enhancing both signal fidelity and overall quantization efficiency. RD employs a draft model to enable parallel processing and results integration, which markedly accelerates the inference speed for long-term predictions, particularly in large-scale models. Extensive experiments on various real-world datasets show that Apollo-Forecast outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 35.41% and 18.99% in WQL and MASE metrics, respectively, in zero-shot scenarios. Furthermore, our method achieves an acceleration of 1.9X-2.7X in inference speed over the baseline methods.

Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial IntelligenceVol. 39(21)
Tongji University (CN), Huazhong University of Science and Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 33%
Topic Modeling
0.89
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