Parametric ρ-Norm Scaling Calibration

Output uncertainty indicates whether the probabilistic properties of the overall distribution reflect objective characteristics of the model output. Unlike most loss functions and metrics in machine learning, uncertainty pertains to individual samples, but validating it on individual samples is unfeasible. When validated collectively, it cannot fully represent individual sample properties, posing a challenge in assessing and calibrating model confidence in a limited data set. Hence, it is crucial to consider confidence calibration characteristics. To counter the adverse effects of the gradual amplification of the classifier output amplitude in supervised learning, we introduce a post-processing parametric calibration method, ρ-Norm Scaling, which expands the calibrator expression and mitigates overconfidence due to excessive amplitude while preserving accuracy. Moreover, calibrator optimization based bin-level calibration error often results in the loss of significant instance-level information. Therefore, we include probability distribution regularization, which incorporates a priori information that the instance-level uncertainty distribution after calibration should resemble the distribution before calibration. Experimental results demonstrate the substantial enhancement in the post-processing calibrator for uncertainty calibration with our proposed method.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Published
2025-04-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v39i21.34413
Primary Topic
Fault Detection and Control Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Parametric ρ-Norm Scaling Calibration

Siyuan Zhang, Linbo Xie
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
Fault Detection and Control Systems
article

Parametric ρ-Norm Scaling Calibration

Siyuan Zhang, Linbo Xie
article en

Abstract

Output uncertainty indicates whether the probabilistic properties of the overall distribution reflect objective characteristics of the model output. Unlike most loss functions and metrics in machine learning, uncertainty pertains to individual samples, but validating it on individual samples is unfeasible. When validated collectively, it cannot fully represent individual sample properties, posing a challenge in assessing and calibrating model confidence in a limited data set. Hence, it is crucial to consider confidence calibration characteristics. To counter the adverse effects of the gradual amplification of the classifier output amplitude in supervised learning, we introduce a post-processing parametric calibration method, ρ-Norm Scaling, which expands the calibrator expression and mitigates overconfidence due to excessive amplitude while preserving accuracy. Moreover, calibrator optimization based bin-level calibration error often results in the loss of significant instance-level information. Therefore, we include probability distribution regularization, which incorporates a priori information that the instance-level uncertainty distribution after calibration should resemble the distribution before calibration. Experimental results demonstrate the substantial enhancement in the post-processing calibrator for uncertainty calibration with our proposed method.

Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial IntelligenceVol. 39(21)
Jiangnan University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Fault Detection and Control Systems
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