Oil Spill Occurrence and Pollution Risk Assessment Based on Sea State, Oil Platform Location, and Shipping Route Density in the Bohai Sea

The Bohai Sea is the only semi-enclosed inland sea in China. With active marine economic activities, it faces a persistently high risk of oil spill accidents. This study assesses the occurrence risk and pollution risk of oil spills by considering factors such as sea state, the location of oil platform, and shipping route density in the Bohai Sea. The results show that the central part of the Bohai Sea, the southern Liaodong Peninsula, and the Bohai Strait area have a relatively high occurrence risk of oil spills due to busy maritime traffic and harsh sea conditions. In contrast, some areas in the northern, western, and southern parts of the Bohai Sea have a relatively low occurrence risk of oil spills because of weak maritime activity intensity and relatively calm sea state. In terms of the oil pollution risk, its distribution in the Bohai Sea shows significant seasonal characteristics, which are mainly comprehensively affected by multiple dynamic factors such as circulation, monsoon, and seawater exchange. Based on the oil pollution risk distribution, seasonally targeted strategies are proposed, which can provide a scientific basis for oil spill prevention and emergency management in the Bohai Sea, and help relevant departments formulate targeted prevention and control strategies.