Enhanced Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model for Forecasting Network Traffic

Precise forecasting of network traffic is crucial for maintaining the stability and effectiveness of contemporary computer networks. This research presents Enhanced Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models combined with sophisticated machine learning methods to enhance the precision of traffic forecasting. Utilizing historical data and external factors, the suggested model tackles essential issues like non-linear trends and time-dependent dynamics. The execution reaches a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 1.23%, showcasing notable advancements compared to conventional techniques. These findings highlight the promise of hybrid forecasting models in enhancing resource distribution and reducing security threats in ever-changing network settings.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Information Systems Engineering & Management
Published
2025-04-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.52783/jisem.v10i31s.5102
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Enhanced Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model for Forecasting Network Traffic

N. Sri Madhava Raja
Journal of Information Systems Engineering & Management
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

Enhanced Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model for Forecasting Network Traffic

N. Sri Madhava Raja
article en

Abstract

Precise forecasting of network traffic is crucial for maintaining the stability and effectiveness of contemporary computer networks. This research presents Enhanced Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models combined with sophisticated machine learning methods to enhance the precision of traffic forecasting. Utilizing historical data and external factors, the suggested model tackles essential issues like non-linear trends and time-dependent dynamics. The execution reaches a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 1.23%, showcasing notable advancements compared to conventional techniques. These findings highlight the promise of hybrid forecasting models in enhancing resource distribution and reducing security threats in ever-changing network settings.

Journal of Information Systems Engineering & ManagementVol. 10(31s)
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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