The economic and geostrategic role of LNG in EU energy transition

• The article analyses the impact of LNG market on EU agenda and its challenges. • LNG rise has been determined more by geopolitical factors than economic ones. • LNG convenience compared to pipeline gas is threatened by various factors. • Massive LNG import has not solved the energy dependence issue. • LNG calls into question the credibility of EU climate agenda. Since 2010s, the EU promotes decarbonization and energy security as strategic goals. However, a fundamental impetus came with Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The EU promoted a drastic reduction of Russian gas import, massive import of liquefied natural gas (LNG), investments in the LNG value chain, reduction of energy demand, and green transition. This article analyses the rise of the LNG market, its contradictions and challenges. According to results, LNG rise has been determined more by geopolitical factors than economic ones, that can be traced back to the impact of the shale gas revolution on the EU-Russia relations. Indeed, LNG convenience compared to pipeline gas is threatened by market volatility and various costs peculiar to LNG. Currently, the massive import of LNG has not solved the problem of energy dependence and cost, does not fully compensate for the gas supply gap and threatens the credibility of the climate agenda.

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Publication Details

Journal
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics
Published
2025-04-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2025.04.002
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Global Energy Security and Policy
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.38
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article

The economic and geostrategic role of LNG in EU energy transition

Sara Casagrande, Bruno Dallago
3 citations
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics
Global Energy Security and Policy
5.38
article

The economic and geostrategic role of LNG in EU energy transition

Sara Casagrande, Bruno Dallago
article en
3 citations

Abstract

• The article analyses the impact of LNG market on EU agenda and its challenges. • LNG rise has been determined more by geopolitical factors than economic ones. • LNG convenience compared to pipeline gas is threatened by various factors. • Massive LNG import has not solved the energy dependence issue. • LNG calls into question the credibility of EU climate agenda. Since 2010s, the EU promotes decarbonization and energy security as strategic goals. However, a fundamental impetus came with Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The EU promoted a drastic reduction of Russian gas import, massive import of liquefied natural gas (LNG), investments in the LNG value chain, reduction of energy demand, and green transition. This article analyses the rise of the LNG market, its contradictions and challenges. According to results, LNG rise has been determined more by geopolitical factors than economic ones, that can be traced back to the impact of the shale gas revolution on the EU-Russia relations. Indeed, LNG convenience compared to pipeline gas is threatened by market volatility and various costs peculiar to LNG. Currently, the massive import of LNG has not solved the problem of energy dependence and cost, does not fully compensate for the gas supply gap and threatens the credibility of the climate agenda.

Structural Change and Economic DynamicsVol. 74
University of Trento (IT)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Global Energy Security and Policy
5.38
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The economic and geostrategic role of LNG in EU energy transition — Sara Casagrande, Bruno Dallago · Structural Change and Economic Dynamics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS