The meaning of “harm” in personalized medicine—an alternative perspective

This commentary examines an article by Sarvet and Stensrud in which they discuss the concept of "harm" and its application in medical practice. They advocate for an intervention-based interpretation of harm, downplaying its counterfactual interpretation. We take issue with this stance. We show that the counterfactual approach is vital for effective decision-making policies and that neglecting it might lead to flawed decisions. In response to the contention of Sarvet and Stensrud that "when the outcome is death and a counterfactual approach is used…more people will die," we demonstrate how counterfactual reasoning can actually prevent deaths. Additionally, we highlight the advantages of counterfactual thinking in the fields of medical malpractice, legal reasoning, and general diagnoses. Relying solely on intervention-based analyses limits our ability to accurately represent reality and hinders productive discussions about evidence, assumptions, and consensus building.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
American Journal of Epidemiology
Published
2025-04-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwae441
Primary Topic
Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

Funders

Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

The meaning of “harm” in personalized medicine—an alternative perspective

Scott Mueller, Judea Pearl
American Journal of Epidemiology
Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
article

The meaning of “harm” in personalized medicine—an alternative perspective

Scott Mueller, Judea Pearl
article en

Abstract

This commentary examines an article by Sarvet and Stensrud in which they discuss the concept of "harm" and its application in medical practice. They advocate for an intervention-based interpretation of harm, downplaying its counterfactual interpretation. We take issue with this stance. We show that the counterfactual approach is vital for effective decision-making policies and that neglecting it might lead to flawed decisions. In response to the contention of Sarvet and Stensrud that "when the outcome is death and a counterfactual approach is used…more people will die," we demonstrate how counterfactual reasoning can actually prevent deaths. Additionally, we highlight the advantages of counterfactual thinking in the fields of medical malpractice, legal reasoning, and general diagnoses. Relying solely on intervention-based analyses limits our ability to accurately represent reality and hinders productive discussions about evidence, assumptions, and consensus building.

American Journal of EpidemiologyVol. 194(6)
University of California, Los Angeles (US)
National Science Foundation, Office of Naval Research
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.