Toward a Fragmented Global Order? Technology, Trade, and Development in the Post-2024 World

Abstract Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 US presidential election marks a watershed moment in international affairs, signaling a fundamental shift in global governance, technological innovation, and economic development. This article examines how Trump’s return to power accelerates the transformation toward a more-fragmented global order. Through an analysis of emerging and past policies in technology, trade, and international cooperation, this demonstrates how the administration’s emphasis on economic nationalism can reshape global power dynamics. The article reveals three key findings. First, the administration’s deregulatory approach to technology risks exacerbating global digital divides and weakening international cooperation. Second, protectionist trade policies and the intensification of US-China technological decoupling threaten to fragment global supply chains and create competing economic spheres. Third, the erosion of US support for multilateral institutions creates opportunities for alternative powers – including China, the European Union, and regional blocs – to reshape global governance frameworks.