COVID‐19 Fueled an Elevated Number of Human‐Caused Ignitions in the Western United States During the 2020 Wildfire Season

Abstract The area burned in the western United States during the 2020 fire season was the greatest in the modern era. Here we show that the number of human‐caused fires in 2020 also was elevated, nearly 20% higher than the 1992–2019 average. Although anomalously dry conditions enabled ignitions to spread and contributed to record area burned, these conditions alone do not explain the surge in the number of human‐caused ignitions. We argue that behavioral shifts aimed at curtailing the spread of COVID‐19 altered human‐environment interactions to favor increased ignitions. For example, the number of recreation‐caused wildfires during summer was 36% greater than the 1992–2019 average; this increase was likely a function of increased outdoor recreational activity in response to social distancing measures. We hypothesize that the combination of anomalously dry conditions and COVID‐19 social disruptions contributed to widespread increases in human‐caused ignitions, adding complexity to fire management efforts during the 2020 western US fire season. Knowledge of how social behavior changes indirectly contributed to the increased number of ignitions in the 2020 wildfire season can help inform resource management in an increasingly flammable world.

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Publication Details

Journal
Earth s Future
Published
2025-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024ef005744
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Fire effects on ecosystems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.32

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article

COVID‐19 Fueled an Elevated Number of Human‐Caused Ignitions in the Western United States During the 2020 Wildfire Season

John T. Abatzoglou, Karen C. Short, Jeffrey Jenkins, David E. Rupp et al.
3 citations
Earth s Future
Fire effects on ecosystems
3.32
article

COVID‐19 Fueled an Elevated Number of Human‐Caused Ignitions in the Western United States During the 2020 Wildfire Season

John T. Abatzoglou, Karen C. Short, Jeffrey Jenkins, David E. Rupp, Mojtaba Sadegh, Emily Williams, Adam L. Jorge, Crystal A. Kolden, Erica Fleishman
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Abstract The area burned in the western United States during the 2020 fire season was the greatest in the modern era. Here we show that the number of human‐caused fires in 2020 also was elevated, nearly 20% higher than the 1992–2019 average. Although anomalously dry conditions enabled ignitions to spread and contributed to record area burned, these conditions alone do not explain the surge in the number of human‐caused ignitions. We argue that behavioral shifts aimed at curtailing the spread of COVID‐19 altered human‐environment interactions to favor increased ignitions. For example, the number of recreation‐caused wildfires during summer was 36% greater than the 1992–2019 average; this increase was likely a function of increased outdoor recreational activity in response to social distancing measures. We hypothesize that the combination of anomalously dry conditions and COVID‐19 social disruptions contributed to widespread increases in human‐caused ignitions, adding complexity to fire management efforts during the 2020 western US fire season. Knowledge of how social behavior changes indirectly contributed to the increased number of ignitions in the 2020 wildfire season can help inform resource management in an increasingly flammable world.

Earth s FutureVol. 13(4)
Boise State University (US), Oregon State University (US), University of California, Merced (US), Rocky Mountain Research Station (US), Rocky Mountain Research (United States) (US)
National Science Foundation, Joint Fire Science Program
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Fire effects on ecosystems
3.32
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