Gold Futures Price Forecast Based on Artificial intelligence

Gold futures prices are affected by many factors such as macroeconomics, market supply and demand, and financial markets. Their volatility is crucial to investment decisions and market stability. However, the complexity of the market makes it difficult for traditional forecasting methods to accurately capture the law of price changes. It is of great significance to study efficient forecasting methods. This paper systematically reviews the factors affecting gold futures prices and forecasting methods. The key driving factors are analyzed from the aspects of inflation rate, interest rate, crude oil price, and US dollar index, and three main forecasting methods are summarized: traditional time series models (ARIMA, GARCH, ARDL), hybrid models (MS-MIDAS-CJ, VMD-ICSS-BiGRU) and deep learning methods (SGRU-AM, DBN). Finally, this paper explores the optimization directions of model computational efficiency, generalization ability, and market sentiment integration. This study provides a systematic analysis of gold futures market forecasting. In the future, the combination of deep learning and market sentiment analysis is expected to improve forecasting accuracy and provide support for investors and market decision-making.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Published
2025-04-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2025.21823
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13
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article

Gold Futures Price Forecast Based on Artificial intelligence

Tiantian He
1 citations
Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Market Dynamics and Volatility
3.13
article

Gold Futures Price Forecast Based on Artificial intelligence

Tiantian He
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Gold futures prices are affected by many factors such as macroeconomics, market supply and demand, and financial markets. Their volatility is crucial to investment decisions and market stability. However, the complexity of the market makes it difficult for traditional forecasting methods to accurately capture the law of price changes. It is of great significance to study efficient forecasting methods. This paper systematically reviews the factors affecting gold futures prices and forecasting methods. The key driving factors are analyzed from the aspects of inflation rate, interest rate, crude oil price, and US dollar index, and three main forecasting methods are summarized: traditional time series models (ARIMA, GARCH, ARDL), hybrid models (MS-MIDAS-CJ, VMD-ICSS-BiGRU) and deep learning methods (SGRU-AM, DBN). Finally, this paper explores the optimization directions of model computational efficiency, generalization ability, and market sentiment integration. This study provides a systematic analysis of gold futures market forecasting. In the future, the combination of deep learning and market sentiment analysis is expected to improve forecasting accuracy and provide support for investors and market decision-making.

Advances in Economics Management and Political SciencesVol. 174(1)
University of Toronto (CA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
3.13
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