Climate Change and Human Pressure: Assessing the Vulnerability of Snow Leopard (<scp><i>Panthera uncia</i></scp>) Habitat Integrated With Prey Distribution on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau

Climate change is significantly altering the distribution of large carnivores and their primary prey species, with particular emphasis on the changing prey distribution in high-altitude regions. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, known for its rich biodiversity, is highly sensitive to climate change, affecting the habitats of snow leopards (<i>Panthera uncia</i>) and blue sheep (<i>Pseudois nayaur</i>). Our study identified blue sheep as the primary prey of snow leopards through metagenomic analysis and used bioclimatic data and Land Use/Cover Change (LUCC) information to model habitat suitability under three climate scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5). Projections showed that under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, snow leopard habitats will decrease by 13.0% and 23.4%, while blue sheep habitats will decrease by 38.3% and 49.7%, respectively. These habitats are expected to shift to higher altitudes, with snow leopards experiencing a more significant shift. Based on these findings, we recommend adjusting protected area boundaries for S1 (Ideal distribution range), establishing ecological corridors for S2 (stepping stone), and implementing targeted measures to mitigate human-wildlife conflicts in S3 (potential conflict area). To protect these species, international efforts to reduce carbon emissions, cross-administrative cooperation, and community-based conservation strategies are essential.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ecology and Evolution
Published
2025-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.71232
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
9.19

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article

Climate Change and Human Pressure: Assessing the Vulnerability of Snow Leopard (Panthera uncia) Habitat Integrated With Prey Distribution on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau

Yuguang Zhang, Qiong Wu, Yunchuan Dai, Yadong Xue et al.
5 citations
Ecology and Evolution
Species Distribution and Climate Change
9.19
article

Climate Change and Human Pressure: Assessing the Vulnerability of Snow Leopard (Panthera uncia) Habitat Integrated With Prey Distribution on the Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau

Yuguang Zhang, Qiong Wu, Yunchuan Dai, Yadong Xue, Weihong Cong, Xiuqing Nie, Jia Li, Yu Zhang
article en
5 citations

Abstract

Climate change is significantly altering the distribution of large carnivores and their primary prey species, with particular emphasis on the changing prey distribution in high-altitude regions. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, known for its rich biodiversity, is highly sensitive to climate change, affecting the habitats of snow leopards (<i>Panthera uncia</i>) and blue sheep (<i>Pseudois nayaur</i>). Our study identified blue sheep as the primary prey of snow leopards through metagenomic analysis and used bioclimatic data and Land Use/Cover Change (LUCC) information to model habitat suitability under three climate scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5). Projections showed that under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, snow leopard habitats will decrease by 13.0% and 23.4%, while blue sheep habitats will decrease by 38.3% and 49.7%, respectively. These habitats are expected to shift to higher altitudes, with snow leopards experiencing a more significant shift. Based on these findings, we recommend adjusting protected area boundaries for S1 (Ideal distribution range), establishing ecological corridors for S2 (stepping stone), and implementing targeted measures to mitigate human-wildlife conflicts in S3 (potential conflict area). To protect these species, international efforts to reduce carbon emissions, cross-administrative cooperation, and community-based conservation strategies are essential.

Ecology and EvolutionVol. 15(4)
Chongqing Academy of Environmental Science (CN), Chinese Academy of Forestry (CN), Research Institute of Forestry (CN), State Forestry and Grassland Administration (CN), Institute of Forest Ecology, Environment and Protection (CN)
Wildlife Conservation Society, National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
9.19
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