A comparative study of deterministic and stochastic computational modeling approaches for analyzing and optimizing COVID-19 control

This paper presents a comparative analysis of deterministic and stochastic computational modeling approaches for the optimal control of COVID-19. We formulate a compartmental epidemic model with perturbation by white noise that incorporates various factors influencing disease transmission. By incorporating stochastic effects, the model accounts for uncertainties inherent in real-world epidemic data. We establish the mathematical properties of the model, such as well-posedness and the existence of stationary distributions, which are crucial for understanding long-term epidemic dynamics. Moreover, the study presents an optimal control strategies to mitigate the epidemic's impact, both in deterministic and stochastic sceneries. Reported data from Algeria are used to parameterize the model, ensuring its relevance and applicability to practical satiation. Through numerical simulations, the study provides insights into the effectiveness of different control measures in managing COVID-19 outbreaks. This research contributes to advancing our understanding of epidemic dynamics and informs decision-making processes for epidemic controlling interventions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-04-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-96127-y
Citations
4
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.47

Funders

Controls
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A comparative study of deterministic and stochastic computational modeling approaches for analyzing and optimizing COVID-19 control

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A comparative study of deterministic and stochastic computational modeling approaches for analyzing and optimizing COVID-19 control

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article en
4 citations

Abstract

This paper presents a comparative analysis of deterministic and stochastic computational modeling approaches for the optimal control of COVID-19. We formulate a compartmental epidemic model with perturbation by white noise that incorporates various factors influencing disease transmission. By incorporating stochastic effects, the model accounts for uncertainties inherent in real-world epidemic data. We establish the mathematical properties of the model, such as well-posedness and the existence of stationary distributions, which are crucial for understanding long-term epidemic dynamics. Moreover, the study presents an optimal control strategies to mitigate the epidemic's impact, both in deterministic and stochastic sceneries. Reported data from Algeria are used to parameterize the model, ensuring its relevance and applicability to practical satiation. Through numerical simulations, the study provides insights into the effectiveness of different control measures in managing COVID-19 outbreaks. This research contributes to advancing our understanding of epidemic dynamics and informs decision-making processes for epidemic controlling interventions.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
VSB - Technical University of Ostrava (CZ), Ahmed Draia University (DZ), Jadara University (JO), University of Peshawar (PK), King Khalid University (SA)
European Commission, King Khalid University
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
5.47
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