Artificial intelligence prediction of surface settlement induced by twin shields tunnelling

The accurate prediction of the surface settlement trough is essential for the safety assessment of tunnel construction in densely occupied urban areas. In this study, we propose an artificial intelligence model to predict surface settlement troughs induced by twin tunnelling. The proposed model includes a newly proposed formula for describing settlement trough and a new calculation method of loss. The model uses a Graphical Convolutional Neural network (GCN) to extract latent feature information from field monitoring data that shows the state of the surrounding ground before the second shield passage. The proposed model is verified by comparing its results to those of two other models. The analysis shows that the developed calculation method of loss and consideration of the state of surrounding ground significantly improve the prediction accuracy of surface settlement troughs. While adding more monitoring points can offer benefits, the performance gains become weaker as the number of monitoring points increases. Therefore, we recommend using 24 monitoring points for the proposed model as it strikes the optimal balance between performance and computational efficiency.

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Publication Details

Journal
Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology
Published
2025-04-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2025.106606
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
9.12

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article

Artificial intelligence prediction of surface settlement induced by twin shields tunnelling

Haoran Song, Qian Fang, Jun Wang, Qiming Li et al.
7 citations
Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
9.12
article

Artificial intelligence prediction of surface settlement induced by twin shields tunnelling

Haoran Song, Qian Fang, Jun Wang, Qiming Li, Wang Gan, Jinkun Huang
article en
7 citations

Abstract

The accurate prediction of the surface settlement trough is essential for the safety assessment of tunnel construction in densely occupied urban areas. In this study, we propose an artificial intelligence model to predict surface settlement troughs induced by twin tunnelling. The proposed model includes a newly proposed formula for describing settlement trough and a new calculation method of loss. The model uses a Graphical Convolutional Neural network (GCN) to extract latent feature information from field monitoring data that shows the state of the surrounding ground before the second shield passage. The proposed model is verified by comparing its results to those of two other models. The analysis shows that the developed calculation method of loss and consideration of the state of surrounding ground significantly improve the prediction accuracy of surface settlement troughs. While adding more monitoring points can offer benefits, the performance gains become weaker as the number of monitoring points increases. Therefore, we recommend using 24 monitoring points for the proposed model as it strikes the optimal balance between performance and computational efficiency.

Tunnelling and Underground Space TechnologyVol. 161
Beijing Jiaotong University (CN), China Academy of Transportation Sciences (CN), Anhui University of Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Key Research and Development Program of China, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Geotechnical Engineering and Analysis
9.12
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Artificial intelligence prediction of surface settlement induced by twin shields tunnelling — Haoran Song, Qian Fang, et al. · Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS