The 2023 Major Baltic Inflow Event Observed by Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) and Nadir Altimetry

The Baltic Sea is an intra-continental marginal sea that is vertically stratified with a strong halocline isolating the saline bottom layer from the brackish surface layer. The surface layer is eutrophic, and abiotic zones lacking oxygen are common in the deeper regions. While freshwater is constantly flowing into the North Sea, oxygen-rich bottom waters can only occasionally enter the Baltic Sea following a special sequence of transient weather conditions. These so-called Major Baltic Inflow events can be monitored via the sea level gradients between the Kattegat and the Western Baltic Sea. Innovative interferometric altimetry from the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission gave us the first opportunity to directly observe the sea level signal associated with the inflow event in December 2023. Recent high-rate multi-mission nadir altimetry observations support the SWOT findings for scales larger than 50 km. The SWOT observations are compared to the simulations with the regional 3D HBMnoku ocean circulation model operated by the German Federal Maritime and Hydrographic Agency (BSH). The model explains more than 80% of the variance observed by SWOT and up to 90% of the variance observed by the nadir altimeters. However, the north–south gradients of the two datasets differ by about 10% of the overall gradient. Comparisons with tide gauges suggest possible model deficiencies on daily to sub-daily time scales. In addition, the SWOT data have many fine scale structures, such as eddies and fronts, which cannot be adequately modeled.