A machine learning model for hub-height short-term wind speed prediction

Accurate short-term wind speed prediction is crucial for maintaining the safe, stable, and efficient operation of wind power systems. We propose a multivariate meteorological data fusion wind prediction network (MFWPN) to study fine-grid vector wind speed prediction, taking Northeast China as an example. Results show that MFWPN outperforms the ECMWF-HRES model regarding vector wind speed prediction accuracy within the first 6 h. Transfer experiments demonstrate the good generalized performance of the MFWPN, which can be quickly applied to offsite prediction. Efficiency experiments show that the MFWPN takes only 18 ms to predict vector wind speeds on a 24-hour fine grid over the future northeastern region. With its demonstrated accuracy and efficiency, the MFWPN can be an effective tool for predicting vector wind speeds in large regional wind centers and can help in ultrashort- and short-term deployment planning for wind power.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2025-04-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58456-4
Citations
32
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
23.37
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article

A machine learning model for hub-height short-term wind speed prediction

Zongwei Zhang, Junkai Wang, Hanqing Zhao, Hangyi Yu et al.
32 citations
Nature Communications
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
23.37
article

A machine learning model for hub-height short-term wind speed prediction

Zongwei Zhang, Junkai Wang, Hanqing Zhao, Hangyi Yu, Sheng Gao, Lianlei Lin
article en
32 citations

Abstract

Accurate short-term wind speed prediction is crucial for maintaining the safe, stable, and efficient operation of wind power systems. We propose a multivariate meteorological data fusion wind prediction network (MFWPN) to study fine-grid vector wind speed prediction, taking Northeast China as an example. Results show that MFWPN outperforms the ECMWF-HRES model regarding vector wind speed prediction accuracy within the first 6 h. Transfer experiments demonstrate the good generalized performance of the MFWPN, which can be quickly applied to offsite prediction. Efficiency experiments show that the MFWPN takes only 18 ms to predict vector wind speeds on a 24-hour fine grid over the future northeastern region. With its demonstrated accuracy and efficiency, the MFWPN can be an effective tool for predicting vector wind speeds in large regional wind centers and can help in ultrashort- and short-term deployment planning for wind power.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 16(1)
Harbin Institute of Technology (CN), Heilongjiang Institute of Technology (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
23.37
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A machine learning model for hub-height short-term wind speed prediction — Zongwei Zhang, Junkai Wang, et al. · Nature Communications (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS