Market Crash Risk and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns: Evidence in China

ABSTRACT This study proposes a novel model‐free market crash index designed to capture time‐varying left‐tail risks, which can be replicated using option portfolios. We construct market volatility and crash indices utilising SSE 50 ETF option data, subsequently investigating the pricing mechanisms of market volatility and crash risks across the cross‐section of stock returns in the Chinese stock market. Our findings indicate that stocks with high exposure to market volatility and crash risk tend to have significantly lower average returns. Notably, the risk premia associated with these factors become more substantial when excluding state‐owned enterprises or small‐cap stocks.

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Publication Details

Journal
Accounting and Finance
Published
2025-04-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.70025
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Market Crash Risk and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns: Evidence in China

Chunyang Zhou, Aoran Zhang
Accounting and Finance
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Market Crash Risk and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns: Evidence in China

Chunyang Zhou, Aoran Zhang
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study proposes a novel model‐free market crash index designed to capture time‐varying left‐tail risks, which can be replicated using option portfolios. We construct market volatility and crash indices utilising SSE 50 ETF option data, subsequently investigating the pricing mechanisms of market volatility and crash risks across the cross‐section of stock returns in the Chinese stock market. Our findings indicate that stocks with high exposure to market volatility and crash risk tend to have significantly lower average returns. Notably, the risk premia associated with these factors become more substantial when excluding state‐owned enterprises or small‐cap stocks.

Accounting and FinanceVol. 65(3)
Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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Market Crash Risk and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns: Evidence in China — Chunyang Zhou, Aoran Zhang · Accounting and Finance (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS