Research on Walnut (Juglans regia L.) Yield Prediction Based on a Walnut Orchard Point Cloud Model

This study aims to develop a method for predicting walnut (Juglans regia L.) yield based on the walnut orchard point cloud model, addressing issues such as low efficiency, insufficient accuracy, and high costs in traditional methods. The walnut orchard point cloud is reconstructed using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) images, and the semantic segmentation technique is applied to extract the individual walnut tree point cloud model. Furthermore, the tree height, canopy projection area, and volume of each walnut tree are calculated. By combining these morphological features with statistical models and machine learning methods, a prediction model between tree morphology and yield is established, achieving prediction accuracy with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.04 kg, a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 17.24%, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.81 kg, and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.83. This method provides an efficient, accurate, and economically feasible solution for walnut yield prediction, overcoming the limitations of existing technologies.