Predictive modeling of haze using chaos theory and deep learning algorithms

With the swift growth of urbanization and industrialization, fine particulate matter (PM10) has escalated into a major global environmental crisis. PM10 is often used as a haze indicator, severely affecting human health and ecosystem stability. Accurate prediction of PM10 levels is crucial, but existing models face challenges in handling vast data and achieving high accuracy. This study investigates four years of PM10 time series in industrial area in Malaysia. Paper aims to develop and compare haze predicting models using chaos theory, including the local linear approximation method (LLAM), local mean approximation method (LMAM); also several deep learning algorithms including convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional LSTM. The performances of these models are evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (r), and coefficient of determination (R2). The result shows that Bi-LSTM provides the highest accuracy, LLAM outperforms CNN, while LMAM is reliable but less precise.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Mathematical Modeling and Computing
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.23939/mmc2025.01.264
Primary Topic
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Predictive modeling of haze using chaos theory and deep learning algorithms

Man-ho Ho, M. Sarah, D. Hazlina, A. Nur Hamiza et al.
Mathematical Modeling and Computing
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
article

Predictive modeling of haze using chaos theory and deep learning algorithms

Man-ho Ho, M. Sarah, D. Hazlina, A. Nur Hamiza, A. H. Nor Zila
article en

Abstract

With the swift growth of urbanization and industrialization, fine particulate matter (PM10) has escalated into a major global environmental crisis. PM10 is often used as a haze indicator, severely affecting human health and ecosystem stability. Accurate prediction of PM10 levels is crucial, but existing models face challenges in handling vast data and achieving high accuracy. This study investigates four years of PM10 time series in industrial area in Malaysia. Paper aims to develop and compare haze predicting models using chaos theory, including the local linear approximation method (LLAM), local mean approximation method (LMAM); also several deep learning algorithms including convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional LSTM. The performances of these models are evaluated using root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (r), and coefficient of determination (R2). The result shows that Bi-LSTM provides the highest accuracy, LLAM outperforms CNN, while LMAM is reliable but less precise.

Mathematical Modeling and ComputingVol. 12(1)
Asia Pacific University of Technology and Innovation
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
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Predictive modeling of haze using chaos theory and deep learning algorithms — Man-ho Ho, M. Sarah, et al. · Mathematical Modeling and Computing (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS