How do real and financial sectors in Africa respond to uncertainties from China, the USA and Europe

In spite of rising cross-border propagation of uncertainty shocks occasioned by the recent COVID-19 outbreak, existing studies barely addressed cross-border uncertainty effect on real and financial sectors, especially in Africa. Thus, this study has taken the initiative to investigate how the real and financial sectors in Africa are reacting to policy uncertainties from China, the USA and Europe. The study employed the generalised method of moment procedures for 41 African economies from 2010 to 2019. We find that rising uncertainty in China and Europe have significant adverse impacts on Africa's real sector, while the impact of the USA uncertainty remains muted. Interestingly, we find that uncertainties from China and Europe have significant positive effects on Africa's financial sector, suggesting that Africa is a safe haven where investors transfer their investments away from risky environments witnessing high uncertainty. The study provides policy suggestions.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Sustainable Economy
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1504/ijse.2025.145320
Primary Topic
Economic Growth and Development
Type
article
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article

How do real and financial sectors in Africa respond to uncertainties from China, the USA and Europe

Jonathan E. Ogbuabor, Oliver E. Ogbonna
International Journal of Sustainable Economy
Economic Growth and Development
article

How do real and financial sectors in Africa respond to uncertainties from China, the USA and Europe

Jonathan E. Ogbuabor, Oliver E. Ogbonna
article en

Abstract

In spite of rising cross-border propagation of uncertainty shocks occasioned by the recent COVID-19 outbreak, existing studies barely addressed cross-border uncertainty effect on real and financial sectors, especially in Africa. Thus, this study has taken the initiative to investigate how the real and financial sectors in Africa are reacting to policy uncertainties from China, the USA and Europe. The study employed the generalised method of moment procedures for 41 African economies from 2010 to 2019. We find that rising uncertainty in China and Europe have significant adverse impacts on Africa's real sector, while the impact of the USA uncertainty remains muted. Interestingly, we find that uncertainties from China and Europe have significant positive effects on Africa's financial sector, suggesting that Africa is a safe haven where investors transfer their investments away from risky environments witnessing high uncertainty. The study provides policy suggestions.

International Journal of Sustainable EconomyVol. 17(2)
University of Nigeria (NG)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 92%
Economic Growth and Development
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How do real and financial sectors in Africa respond to uncertainties from China, the USA and Europe — Jonathan E. Ogbuabor, Oliver E. Ogbonna · International Journal of Sustainable Economy (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS