Utilizing physics-informed synthetic data to predict reactor operations

The ability to predict how a reactor will operate, understand when anomalous conditions arise, and ensure a reactor is being operated as expected is crucial for deploying new nuclear facilities. Digital twins serve as a unique solution for recognizing reactor behavior; however, they require data to be effectively utilized. For next-generation reactors, these data may not currently be available. The following work aims to validate the efficacy of using synthetic data for modeling reactor operations and enabling digital twin development of nuclear reactors prior to physical data acquisition. Physics-informed synthetic data is generated using surrogate models of reactor physics simulations of the Idaho State University AGN-201 research reactor for efficient data generation. This synthetic data generation process is validated on AGN-201 operational data to understand biases in the synthetic data generation process. Finally, the physics-informed synthetic data is used to train a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network to dynamically predict reactor operations and allow for consistent model updating as more data becomes available. The LSTM was validated using both synthetic and real operational data. By training an LSTM model on synthetic data and validating the model on operational data, this approach can help bridge the gap between the virtual and physical sides of a digital twin.

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Publication Details

Journal
Progress in Nuclear Energy
Published
2026-08-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pnucene.2026.106553
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Nuclear reactor physics and engineering
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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Utilizing physics-informed synthetic data to predict reactor operations

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Progress in Nuclear Energy
Nuclear reactor physics and engineering
article

Utilizing physics-informed synthetic data to predict reactor operations

Chad L. Pope, Ashley Shields, Ryan Stewart, Christopher Ritter, Ben-oni Vainqueur, Jaden Palmer
article en
1 citations

Abstract

The ability to predict how a reactor will operate, understand when anomalous conditions arise, and ensure a reactor is being operated as expected is crucial for deploying new nuclear facilities. Digital twins serve as a unique solution for recognizing reactor behavior; however, they require data to be effectively utilized. For next-generation reactors, these data may not currently be available. The following work aims to validate the efficacy of using synthetic data for modeling reactor operations and enabling digital twin development of nuclear reactors prior to physical data acquisition. Physics-informed synthetic data is generated using surrogate models of reactor physics simulations of the Idaho State University AGN-201 research reactor for efficient data generation. This synthetic data generation process is validated on AGN-201 operational data to understand biases in the synthetic data generation process. Finally, the physics-informed synthetic data is used to train a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network to dynamically predict reactor operations and allow for consistent model updating as more data becomes available. The LSTM was validated using both synthetic and real operational data. By training an LSTM model on synthetic data and validating the model on operational data, this approach can help bridge the gap between the virtual and physical sides of a digital twin.

Progress in Nuclear EnergyVol. 201
Idaho State University (US), Northeastern University (US), Idaho National Laboratory (US), Government of the United States of America (US), Universidad del Noreste (MX)
U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Nuclear Energy, National Nuclear Security Administration, Idaho Operations Office, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Defense Nuclear Nonproliferation
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
Nuclear reactor physics and engineering
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