Can Ground Reaction Force Variables Preidentify the Probability of a Musculoskeletal Injury in Collegiate Distance Runners?

The incidence of lower extremity injuries in collegiate distance runners is ∼20%. Identification of a runner sustaining a potential injury remains challenging. This exploratory, cross-institutional study sought to determine whether ground reaction force (GRF) characteristics during steady-state running could identify competitive collegiate distance runners who would later sustain lower extremity injuries. Normative boundaries for 10 GRF variables during braking and propulsion were established for noninjured runners using median ± scaled median absolute deviation. A subanalysis was conducted on runners with and without impact peaks in vertical GRF to mitigate the influence of impact peaks on GRF variables. We hypothesized that prior to injury, runners who later developed an injury would have more GRF variables outside of the normative boundaries than noninjured runners. Using Cliff's method, a rank-based, nonparametric method for comparing 2 independent groups, we found no statistically significant difference between the number of variables outside the boundaries for injured and noninjured runners overall (P = .17). However, injured runners without impact peaks had more variables outside the normative boundaries than noninjured runners (P < .001). This novel analytical approach demonstrates the potential for preidentifying collegiate distance runners without impact peaks who may be at risk for injury.