Spatio-Temporal Traffic Prediction Under Multi-Scale Dynamic Convolution

Traffic flow prediction remains a challenging task due to the complexity of spatio-temporal dependencies and the dynamic nature of traffic patterns. Traditional methods often struggle to efficiently model long-term dependencies and adapt to dynamic changes in traffic networks, leading to suboptimal prediction performance. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel traffic flow prediction model that integrates multi-scale convolutional networks and dynamic graph convolutional networks. By replacing the traditional Transformer architecture with Linformer, the model significantly reduces computational complexity while efficiently processing long sequential data. Additionally, the introduction of multi-scale convolutional networks allows for effective extraction of flow features at short, medium, and long time scales, enhancing prediction accuracy across different horizons. The incorporation of Dynamic Graph Convolutional Networks (Dynamic GCN) enables dynamic adjustment of the adjacency matrix, allowing the model to adaptively capture changes in spatio-temporal relationships within the traffic network. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms existing approaches in short-, medium-, and long-term traffic flow prediction tasks across multiple datasets, demonstrating its effectiveness in addressing the complexities of spatio-temporal dependencies and dynamic changes.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iccc62609.2024.10942072
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Spatio-Temporal Traffic Prediction Under Multi-Scale Dynamic Convolution

Da Liang, R. Wen
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

Spatio-Temporal Traffic Prediction Under Multi-Scale Dynamic Convolution

Da Liang, R. Wen
article en

Abstract

Traffic flow prediction remains a challenging task due to the complexity of spatio-temporal dependencies and the dynamic nature of traffic patterns. Traditional methods often struggle to efficiently model long-term dependencies and adapt to dynamic changes in traffic networks, leading to suboptimal prediction performance. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel traffic flow prediction model that integrates multi-scale convolutional networks and dynamic graph convolutional networks. By replacing the traditional Transformer architecture with Linformer, the model significantly reduces computational complexity while efficiently processing long sequential data. Additionally, the introduction of multi-scale convolutional networks allows for effective extraction of flow features at short, medium, and long time scales, enhancing prediction accuracy across different horizons. The incorporation of Dynamic Graph Convolutional Networks (Dynamic GCN) enables dynamic adjustment of the adjacency matrix, allowing the model to adaptively capture changes in spatio-temporal relationships within the traffic network. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms existing approaches in short-, medium-, and long-term traffic flow prediction tasks across multiple datasets, demonstrating its effectiveness in addressing the complexities of spatio-temporal dependencies and dynamic changes.

Yunnan Provincial Transport Department
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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Spatio-Temporal Traffic Prediction Under Multi-Scale Dynamic Convolution — Da Liang, R. Wen · (2024) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS