Landslides in the Himalayas: The Role of Conditioning Factors and Their Resolution in Susceptibility Mapping

Landslides present remarkable hazards in the Himalayan region, particularly in areas with young and fragile topography. Mitigating vulnerability requires assessing susceptibility, which relies heavily on the accuracy of susceptibility maps generated through various approaches that consider different conditioning factors at various resolutions. This study, conducted in Jajarkot District within the Karnali Province of Nepal and covering 2230 km2, aims to identify suitable conditioning factors at appropriate resolutions. Sixteen factors, encompassing topography, hydrology, geology, and anthropogenic activities, were analyzed alongside a landslide inventory of 159 occurrences compiled from satellite imagery, the literature, and field surveys. A genetic algorithm (GA) was employed to determine the optimal set of conditioning factors, while Maximum Entropy (Maxent) modeling produced landslide susceptibility maps (LSM) at spatial resolutions ranging between 12.5 and 200 m. Resolution selection was guided by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and Area Under the Curve (AUC) analyses. Multicollinearity testing identified 15 influential factors, with land use ranking highest at 22.7%, followed by stream power index (SPI), drainage density, and aspect. The GA consistently highlighted land use and slope as effective factors across subset sizes. The results indicated resolutions finer than one hundred meters enhanced discrimination between landslide and non-landslide areas, emphasizing the need to balance resolution with computational resources and data availability. This study emphasizes the intricate interplay of conditioning factors, the GA’s efficacy in subset selection, and the crucial role of resolution in the improvement of susceptibility models. The findings provide practical insights for policymakers and disaster management authorities, aiding evidence-based decision making in the mitigation of landslide risk in Jajarkot and similar regions.