Practical parameter identifiability of respiratory mechanics in the extremely preterm infant

The complexity of mathematical models describing respiratory mechanics has grown in recent years, however, parameter identifiability of such models has only been studied in the last decade in the context of observable data. This study investigates parameter identifiability of a nonlinear respiratory mechanics model tuned to the physiology of an extremely preterm infant, using global Morris screening, local deterministic sensitivity analysis and singular value decomposition-based subset selection. The model predicts airflow and dynamic pulmonary volumes and pressures under varying levels of continuous positive airway pressure, and a range of parameters characterizing both surfactant-treated and surfactant-deficient lung. Sensitivity analyses indicated 11 parameters influence model outputs over the range of continuous positive airway pressure and lung health scenarios. The model was adapted to data from a spontaneously breathing 1 kg infant using gradient-based optimization to estimate the parameter subset characterizing the patient's state of health.This article is part of the theme issue 'Uncertainty quantification for healthcare and biological systems (Part 2)'.