Reconstructing historical climate fields with deep learning

Historical records of climate fields are often sparse because of missing measurements, especially before the introduction of large-scale satellite missions. Several statistical and model-based methods have been introduced to fill gaps and reconstruct historical records. Here, we use a recently introduced deep learning approach based on Fourier convolutions, trained on numerical climate model output, to reconstruct historical climate fields. Using this approach, we are able to realistically reconstruct large and irregular areas of missing data and to reproduce known historical events, such as strong El Niño or La Niña events, with very little given information. Our method outperforms the widely used statistical kriging method, as well as other recent machine learning approaches. The model generalizes to higher resolutions than the ones it was trained on and can be used on a variety of climate fields. Moreover, it allows inpainting of masks never seen before during the model training.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2025-04-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adp0558
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
9.11

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article

Reconstructing historical climate fields with deep learning

Niklas Boers, Anna Poltronieri, Martin Rypdal, Nils Bochow
7 citations
Science Advances
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
9.11
article

Reconstructing historical climate fields with deep learning

Niklas Boers, Anna Poltronieri, Martin Rypdal, Nils Bochow
article en
7 citations

Abstract

Historical records of climate fields are often sparse because of missing measurements, especially before the introduction of large-scale satellite missions. Several statistical and model-based methods have been introduced to fill gaps and reconstruct historical records. Here, we use a recently introduced deep learning approach based on Fourier convolutions, trained on numerical climate model output, to reconstruct historical climate fields. Using this approach, we are able to realistically reconstruct large and irregular areas of missing data and to reproduce known historical events, such as strong El Niño or La Niña events, with very little given information. Our method outperforms the widely used statistical kriging method, as well as other recent machine learning approaches. The model generalizes to higher resolutions than the ones it was trained on and can be used on a variety of climate fields. Moreover, it allows inpainting of masks never seen before during the model training.

Science AdvancesVol. 11(14)
University of Copenhagen (DK), University of Exeter (GB), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE), Technical University of Munich (DE), UiT The Arctic University of Norway (NO)
U.S. Department of Energy, Universitetet i Tromsø, European Commission, Volkswagen Foundation, Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung, Office of Science, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme, Biological and Environmental Research, Climate Program Office
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
9.11
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