Analyzing Stability of Estimates at Completion for Long Duration Development Efforts

The article provides empirical evidence that long duration programs behave differently than short duration programs. Program managers are cautioned to consider the length of duration when estimating cost at completion up to and slightly beyond the 70% completion point

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Defense Acquisition Research Journal
Published
2025-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22594/dau.24-927.32.01
Primary Topic
Manufacturing Process and Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Analyzing Stability of Estimates at Completion for Long Duration Development Efforts

Jonathan D. Ritschel, Shawn M. Valentine, Brandon Lucas, Edward D. White
Defense Acquisition Research Journal
Manufacturing Process and Optimization
article

Analyzing Stability of Estimates at Completion for Long Duration Development Efforts

Jonathan D. Ritschel, Shawn M. Valentine, Brandon Lucas, Edward D. White
article en

Abstract

The article provides empirical evidence that long duration programs behave differently than short duration programs. Program managers are cautioned to consider the length of duration when estimating cost at completion up to and slightly beyond the 70% completion point

Defense Acquisition Research JournalVol. 32(108)
Openalex Percentile: Top 92%
Manufacturing Process and Optimization
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Analyzing Stability of Estimates at Completion for Long Duration Development Efforts — Jonathan D. Ritschel, Shawn M. Valentine, et al. · Defense Acquisition Research Journal (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS