Revealing crash hotspots concerning google traffic maps historical data by supervised and ensemble machine learning techniques

• Advanced machine learning models (XGBoost and SVM) predicted crash hotspots with 88 % accuracy. • Diverse data sources, including Google traffic maps and meteorological data, identified key crash factors like dynamicity. • The framework offers actionable insights for proactive crash prevention and improved traffic safety. Road crashes are common occurrences that can have serious consequences. They are influenced by a range of factors, including environmental conditions, human behavior, and road design. To prevent crashes, it is essential to identify crash hotspots. Online traffic maps are a new source of data that can provide insight into traffic patterns and help predict crashes. This study focuses on developing an accurate and practical real-time crash prediction model by leveraging machine learning techniques. Unlike previous studies that either emphasize model accuracy or real-time prediction separately, this research aims to balance both aspects, offering a feasible and efficient solution for crash hotspot identification. The key innovation of this study lies in integrating real-time dynamicity analysis from Google traffic maps with historical crash records and meteorological data to enhance both predictive performance and real-time applicability. The model, focusing on the hourly level, strikes a balance between computational efficiency and practical deployment in large-scale urban networks. Machine learning techniques, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and one-class Support Vector Machines (SVM), were employed, and the results indicated that XGBoost outperformed the one-class SVM. The overall accuracy of XGBoost and one-class SVM was 88 % and 75 %, respectively, when compared to the actual crash occurrences.

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Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Transportation Engineering
Published
2025-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.treng.2025.100326
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Traffic and Road Safety
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.21
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article

Revealing crash hotspots concerning google traffic maps historical data by supervised and ensemble machine learning techniques

Hamid Mirzahossein, S. Travis Waller, Pedram Nobakht
4 citations
Transportation Engineering
Traffic and Road Safety
5.21
article

Revealing crash hotspots concerning google traffic maps historical data by supervised and ensemble machine learning techniques

Hamid Mirzahossein, S. Travis Waller, Pedram Nobakht
article en
4 citations

Abstract

• Advanced machine learning models (XGBoost and SVM) predicted crash hotspots with 88 % accuracy. • Diverse data sources, including Google traffic maps and meteorological data, identified key crash factors like dynamicity. • The framework offers actionable insights for proactive crash prevention and improved traffic safety. Road crashes are common occurrences that can have serious consequences. They are influenced by a range of factors, including environmental conditions, human behavior, and road design. To prevent crashes, it is essential to identify crash hotspots. Online traffic maps are a new source of data that can provide insight into traffic patterns and help predict crashes. This study focuses on developing an accurate and practical real-time crash prediction model by leveraging machine learning techniques. Unlike previous studies that either emphasize model accuracy or real-time prediction separately, this research aims to balance both aspects, offering a feasible and efficient solution for crash hotspot identification. The key innovation of this study lies in integrating real-time dynamicity analysis from Google traffic maps with historical crash records and meteorological data to enhance both predictive performance and real-time applicability. The model, focusing on the hourly level, strikes a balance between computational efficiency and practical deployment in large-scale urban networks. Machine learning techniques, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and one-class Support Vector Machines (SVM), were employed, and the results indicated that XGBoost outperformed the one-class SVM. The overall accuracy of XGBoost and one-class SVM was 88 % and 75 %, respectively, when compared to the actual crash occurrences.

Transportation EngineeringVol. 20
National Tsing Hua University (TW), Transport for London (GB), Imam Khomeini International University (IR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Traffic and Road Safety
5.21
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